Over 90% of the deaths come from the 12.3m people over 65 years.
Given how many have already been done, roughly 5 weeks of 2 million vaccines a week and this pandemic is effectively over.
Holy shit. Not a chance mate. Seriously. So optimistic about how quickly and effectively the vaccines will help us achieve immunity.
Factors out the door and down the street why that would not be the case. Organise that many voluntary jabs in a concentrated time? We have nothing in infrastructure and no experience like that. Training people?
Just getting the vulnerable groups in an orderly and timely fashion is going to be a miracle in practise. Seriously, as impressive as it gets.
Think on. There's no way of forcing people to get it quickly. And many will want to wait and see. Or won't, can't make time. Missed second appointments. Failed jabs. Poor reactions, coincidental illnesses, huge scare stories.
Then, uhh. 12 week gap for Oxford second dose. Nowhere near enough supply of any of these globally. Every batch being fought for by more than just governments.
General risk of unprecedented viral loads about to reach untold heights.
And nothing, nothing proven in the field.
Whew.
My dream scenario is no lockdowns next winter, and long covid not wrecking the next 12 months for 2m otherwise fit and healthy people. That is considered the height of optimism around here.
5 weeks???? I can't get a regular appointment at a GP in 5 weeks. There were 18 people queing on the phone at 11 am today. And it's been like that all year!