Coronavirus (2021) thread

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England hospital deaths - 145 with 21 North West. Last week it was 204 and 28.

Another good fall wk to wk.

On what has been one of the highest total days of the week because of catch up from the weekend lack of registration.

Six weeks ago 972 were reported on Wednesday and 138 from the NW. Which puts today in context.

A fall to one seventh of where we were in late January.
 
145 England hospital deaths by age:

40 - 59 (23) 15.9%

60 - 79 (54) 37.2%

80 PLUS (68) 46.9%


Think that is the highest under 60s percentage I recall seeing. Created mostly as the numbers of the higher ages are now so low. Not because the 40 to 60s are rising. Just a higher percentage of much smaller numbers with the higher age ranges having more reductions.

It is even more stark if you only look at the 97 deaths from the past 3 days - which were:

40 - 59 (19) = 19.6% 60 - 79 (38) = 39.2% 80 PLUS (40) 41.2%
 
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145 England hospital deaths by region:

41 Midlands, 37 NE & Yorks, 21 North West, 16 East, 16 London, 8 South East, 6 South West

No trust in England had double figure numbers today

Most was 8 in Birmingham and 5 in Nottingham.

In the NW the most was 3 each in Liverpool, Pennine Acute and Tameside.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
Another reason why getting case loads down is important and we can't just let the virus run through the relatively invulnerable unvaccinated population. Hospitals can't be isolated from the wider community.
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Exactly. I'm going to feel a lot more confident about going back to pubs and gigs in April/May when only one in a thousand of us have Covid (we're getting close to that) than I was when it was near one in fitty. Even having had a jab this week.
 
Northern Ireland data:

8 deaths - was 4 last week

147 cases - was 226 last week

8.6% positive - was 11.4% last week

7 day rolling case total 1216 - down from 1269 yesterday and 1419 last week

16 care home outbreaks - down from 18 yesterday and 23 last week

212 patients - down from 222 yesterday and 289 last week

19 ventilated - down from 22 yesterday and 29 last week
 
Of the 691 infections in Scotland today

37 are in people aged 65+, with the majority of those (23) in the 65-74 age range.

142 cases in 0-14 year olds
99 cases in 15-24 year olds.

I stopped posting these for ages, but finding them a bit more relevant again now with regards to potential vaccine effects on older folks and the higher cases amongst young primary and nursery aged children who have been first back. Just incase there's anything relevant to be taken here.
 
And three nation cases with England to add - 1063. First over 1000 in about 10 days.

Last week it was 977, wk before 1294, wk before that 1792 and wk before that 1462
 
190 all settings deaths

5926 cases - Zoe App (predicted 5731) - very close but not quite there yet with the trend

The week to week fall is only 457 - lowest in some time.

Looks like we are likely to not fall much further at present.

Pillar 1 & 2 tests down to 'just' 1, 361, 860 today from over 1.5 million yesterday
 
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Healdplace said:
190 all settings deaths

5926 cases~~Zoe App very close and got the increase (up 160) about the right number again too

The week to week fall is only 457 - lowest in some time.

Looks like we are likely to not fall much further at present.

Pillar 1 & 2 tests down to 'just' 1, 361, 860 today from over 1.5 million yesterday
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As you've said before, time to look at hospitalisations and ITU take-up now.
 
unicorn said:
As you've said before, time to look at hospitalisations and ITU take-up now.
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Absolutely - why I have been posting that data in detail for UK, England and all the England regions in here every evening around 6 pm for a week or two now. It is the key. And why I get a bit peeved at the BBC desperate to give the latest case numbers and deaths but uncaring how old is their hospital data.

Might have to be half time tonight. Try to get it in early.
 
Regional Summary:

Good day for NW - not the highest by biggest margin in months.

As the Weekly Pop Score table I posted this morning for the regions suggested Yorkshire has adopted the top spot.

Only big riser today. Practically all the UK rise was here.


SOUTH - southern regions are dropping all the time at very low levels

East down 67 to 375

London down 170 to 461

South East down 59 to 465

South West down 98 to 216 - a new lowest score for any region since Summer 2020


MIDANDS - midlands are not doing as well as the south but at levels not of real concern

East Midlands up 68 to 615

West Midlands up 57 to 609


NORTH -

North East up 57 to 345

Yorkshire up 292 to 1006 - first score in England over 1000 in a couple of weeks and one sixth of all UK cases today.




However, North West FELL by 107 to its lowest total in 5 months. 770.
 
Yesterday's vaccinations

First doses: 217,301

Second doses: 72,922

Not great but next week seems like it will be much higher. Northern Ireland reporting that they will receive a record number of doses and it looks like all AZ. They are saying that the batch(es) are out of date by the end of March so they will stop administering Pfizer first doses and they will need to really go some to use them all. You would assume it will be the same elsewhere and I'm thinking it might be the ten million doses of AZ from India (or at least a big chunk of it).
 
Greater Manchester highlights:

Mixed day - with numbers down and above the average fall for the NW so down 4.4% in the day to just 46.8% of NW total.

However, whilst that is good and the GM total falls by 89 on yesterday to 360 - that is still slightly up week to week on last Wednesdays 347.

And so several boroughs were higher today than they were last week though generally only by numbers that will marginally move their weekly Pop Score up.

Manchester - though falling big from 90 yesterday to 66 today - is still up 9 on last Monday.

The other week to week rises were smaller than that so not a big dent.

All the other 9 boroughs had scores between 17 (Trafford), 19 (Bury) , Oldham (23) and Bolton - who were next highest behind Manchester at 42.

Indeed the other 5 form a run of close matched scores again - 35, 37, 38, 39 and 40.

All in all a good day. Though it looks like this plateau is real and from there it is as easy to go up as down. If not easier as there is more up to go.
 
tolmie's hairdoo said:
Fucking depressing seeing absolute gridlock on the roads around Sale and Alty since the schools went back this week.

Even worse today with the rain, people taking the absolute piss and I give it two months before the rates are through the roof.
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Why? Life has to go on and a huge amount are now vaccinated whilst still shielding and socially distancing. Kids going back to school had to happen and this is the right time for me. The NHS is nowhere near overwhelmed and numbers going in is well down. We are opening up slowly, not sure what else you want?
 
Marvin said:
You are quoting trial data measured against the wild-type virus.

If that was the real world then I would agree with you. This would be a formality. The timescale would be set by the population and the vaccination rate. That seems to be how you are viewing this but when we learned of the variants then this problem became more complex and you don't want to know about that.

Well we don't have the original virus in the UK any more. South Africa has another strain. The current virus spontaneously mutates into forms that are similar to the SA variant and we are going to pre-select those strains through vaccination and then when the lockdown lifts they have the opportunity to grow. Therefore we still have a problem that is going to drag on until at least the Summer/Autumn when another vaccine will be introduced.

Imo it's on the decline but it will be like ever-decreasing circles and it will be long and drawn out.
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is your second name variant?
 
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