Rammy Blue
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 23 May 2008
- Messages
- 32,165
Starting to get the impression that due to our vaccination rates the Indian variant provides a spike but not a wave.ZOE : GM data
(Predicted active cases / Estimated cases per million population locally / Both V yesterday)
New leader in the county - the borough that was long the best in GM.
TRAFFORD 1584 / 6764 V 1312 / 5603 - Rises into the highest watch zone and worse than both Bolton and Bury now.
Trafford today is the highest in the NW on Zoe. Only West Lancashire (area between Southport and Wigan) is alongside it in the highest watch zone on 572 / 5066
BURY though is down a lot to 763 / 4045 V 1100 / 5831 and half where it was 2 days agi. Which is good.
BOLTON also well down to 669 / 2362 V 1381 / 4874 yesterday.
MANCHESTER 1458 / 2675 V 972 / 1782 is UP quite a bit today. Overtakes Bolton as the case numbers have suggested it might be on the verge of doing in real numbers too.
WIGAN 524 / 1617 V 690 / 2130 - a fall here into the lowest watch tier.
GM now has MORE than half its 10 boroughs in the watch zone.
OLDHAM joins the lowest at 301 / 1287 V 55 / 235 yesterday - quite a large jump.
AND
STOCKPORT 398 / 1376 V 183 / 634 - does too with a result well in keeping with their case numbers for real over past few days. A doubling in a day.
So there are only three in GM now NOT in the Zoe watch zone:-
AND one of them is if you believe the Zoe numbers!
TAMESIDE - crazy numbers here again and Zoe seem to have given up on its guesstimate as it shows it would have leapt in one day from 132 / 589 to 3026 / 13, 522 - the highest in any UK borough in months if true. And by far the biggest single day jump.
I am pretty sure it isn't this and why they do not put it in a watch zone until they figure out why their data there is such a mess. But the reality is that almost certainly this too is up in the lower watch zone whatever true numbers it has. Tameside and Stockport as neighbour boroughs often follow one another.
So in reality only TWO GM Boroughs now not on Zoe watch lists and I would not bet on either of them avoiding doing so in coming days. Salford's numbers in real life especially are actually worse than Stockport's so these Zoe scores are a bit hard to explain. And Rochdale in real life and Zoe is close enough to enter tier one in a day.
ROCHDALE 117 / 535 V 128 / 584 - not changing much in these mid high numvers but edging down.
SALFORD 76 / 299 V 88 / 346 - happily another small fall the third in a row
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