Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Cases across the regions: YESTERDAY


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago




SOUTH


East DOWN 438 to 2378 V 3829

London DOWN 631 to 3926 V 5451

London remains the highest region in England going solo (as in not versus the two combined areas to match the NHS regions)


South East DOWN 67 to 3384 V 5657 -



South West DOWN 108 to 2518 V 4925


MORE BIG WEEKLY FALLS EVERYWHERE HERE







MIDLANDS



East DOWN 416 to 2140 V 3712

West DOWN 784 to 2640 V 4612


Similar evenly spread falls here


COMBINING THESE TWO INTO ONE AS THE NHS DOES TOTALS 4780 - STILL THE LARGEST REGION








NORTH



North East DOWN 308 to 1522 V 4454 - another huge fall week to week for fifth day running. First time sub 2000 in over three weeks.



Yorkshire DOWN 634 to 2749 V 4964 - again a big drop of nearly half week to week


NE & YORKSHIRE as Zoe and the NHS combines these two for the hospital data and this is now the second biggest area with 4271 cases. Ahead of London the biggest single region. But behind the Midlands,

NB:- London, Midlands and NE & Yorkshire all currently have worse hospital numbers than the NW showing this same pattern is translating from these raw case numbers to those too - suggesting a degree of reality beyond some testing flaws,



AND



NORTH WEST DOWN 151 to 3464 V 6962

Much smaller fall today but another huge week to week fall




Past weeks NW numbers are 6962 - 5176 - 5058 - 5322 - 5600 - 4172 - 3615 - 3464

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 4231 - 4769 - 4931 - 6203 - 6212 - 7256 - 7424 - 6962


Look at the week to weeks above:-

UP 2731 - UP 407 - UP 127 - DOWN 881 - DOWN 612 - DOWN 3084 - DOWN 3809 - DOWN 3498

HUGE turnaround as the week progressed.



GM numbers in past week 2972 - 2147 - 2004 - 2322 - 2258 - 1623 - 1618 - 1410


Total in GM from the NW cases Total - 40.7% well down on 44 % yesterday and 42.6 % a week ago.




Good day for GM again.
 
I wonder if we've hit or close to HI amongst the adult population, and now the kids are our of school that sub-population completely unvaccinated just isn't mixing
 
Over a million yellow cards raised for adverse reactions according to the government which is lower than the actual bearing in mind most dont report feeling crap for a few days
 
I wonder if we've hit or close to HI amongst the adult population, and now the kids are our of school that sub-population completely unvaccinated just isn't mixing

They only finished on Friday don’t think we would see the impact of kids holidays just yet.
 
Full GM details


Total cases 1410 - DOWN 208 on Yesterday - when the whole NW was DOWN by 151

Falling more than the entire NW fall is certainly a good day for GM obviously


Wk to wk DOWN 1562 when the NW is DOWN by 3498.


Also about right as a split of the NW. If not a little more.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 112 / DOWN 17 / DOWN 141

BURY 83 / DOWN 11 / DOWN 63

MANCHESTER 246 / DOWN 54 / DOWN 287

OLDHAM 116 / DOWN 43 / DOWN 176

ROCHDALE 135 / DOWN 7 / DOWN 102

SALFORD 159 / DOWN 14 / DOWN 170

STOCKPORT 164 / UP 16 / DOWN 131

TAMESIDE 126 / DOWN 4 / DOWN 113

TRAFFORD 96 / DOWN b62 / DOWN 136

WIGAN 173 / DOWN 12 / DOWN 243


Bury and Trafford both under 100 again and Manchester the lowest in ages in GM on just 246.

Some extraordinarily large week to week falls for second day running.

Only Stockport let the side doing by NOT being down both day to day and week to week but was down week to week by a three figure number too.

Stockport lost a few Pop Score points on Trafford too,

Indeed EVERY borough bar Bury was down by three figures week to week. A first I think. And Bury only wasn't as it is the lowest and not even in three figures now!

Another obviously good day for GM with more large weekly Pop Score falls - which is the number that matters most to chart the progress of the pandemic in GM.
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-





Bury 810, Trafford 971 , Rochdale 1107, Bolton 1115, Tameside 1178, Oldham 1325, Stockport 1343, Salford 1414, Wigan 1775, Manchester 2343

More very big falls today. Trafford join Bury back under 1000. Wigan well below 2000. Manchester closing in on doing so too,. Everyone is heading in the right direction today, including Stockport, but Stockport doing so a shade less well than the rest has pushed it nearer the top end of the weekly cases just a little,
 
Interesting stats, thanks for posting. I was wondering speculatively last week whether the fall was herd immunity or maybe even people not being arsed to get a test anymore.

But it does seem to be the case that were beating it. The pessimist in me reminds that Autumn and Winter are just weeks away, and that after this hot summer and euros plus reopening, a spike was always happening and may be disguising the true oath of the virus from us, but I'd rather look for something happier right now.

I'm still not taking my mask off indoors when out and about though. It may be more mild for me and for others, but I still can be doing without it and law of averages says that more infections at least enables the possibility for more hospitalisations, even if that ratio is much smaller now.

I think the flu jab campaign needs to be pretty epic this season too. Already hearing via work that a shortage of doses is expected, with higher demand and less infrastructure dedicated to flu jab rollout.
 
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