Coronavirus (2022) thread

[Churchlawtonblue]

1. Give over. The UK modelling was so wrong - 6,000 to 10,000 hospitalisations a day. Actual worst numbers around 2500. I can't recall a figure worse than 2,450. At least 45% of these were admitted for another reason but tested positive after admittal
2. Staff off sick. Bad, but our hospitals were not overloaded with patients.
3. I believe the data - which is clear for both SA and the UK - way lower in virullence than the Private Frazer predictions from SAGE modellers before Christmas.

The modelling has actually improved this time round, but only for infection rates. Virullence is just way off.

I can guess who you are replying to. lol Actually the modelling numbers were for England only. And the actual numbers have never really averaged more than 2000 a day. Could still change obviously but highly unlikely. SAGE called them predictions throughout the Sep reports but with caveats saying they wernt, bizarre really. I note the Dec report called the modelled numbers scenarios Lol. Be actually good if they just accepted that they were wrong be it scenarios or whatever.

i downloaded the report, I can send you a link if you want.

 

[Healdplace]

1. Give over. The UK modelling was so wrong - 6,000 to 10,000 hospitalisations a day. Actual worst numbers around 2500. I can't recall a figure worse than 2,450. At least 45% of these were admitted for another reason but tested positive after admittal

The highest England hospital admissions number in the Omicron wave was 2370 on the 29 December.

Only 2 of the last 8 days have been over 2000. 10 & 11 Jan on 2180 & 2127

1692 - the latest data (from Friday) is the lowest since Boxing Day.

Boxing Day was just a few days into what looks like the start of the short lived Omicron rise in hospital when London went from 278 to 511 admissions over 4 or 5 days. London had 276 in the latest number on Friday.

On 14 Dec - comparing with the 14 Jan latest data we have admissions - England then had 815. London then had 199 admissions. North West 109 (Friday NW had 268) - but you can bet in a few days it will be under 200 given how London has tracked.

 

[dennishasdoneit]

That is wise, and just to be clear I was not meaning anyone specifically just that generally we are all guessing in one way or another about the future track of a novel disease.

Novel?
CV was being discussed at parliamentary level ,Mr Hunt Health secretary..as far back as 2015. Operation ALICE.

Covid is not novel.

Covid is .......Certificate of Vaccination Identification.

Just as Delta and omincron ....'re rearranged ...equals ....Media Control.

It's a game.one far more important than Football.

 

[Healdplace]

Covid is a family of viruses so they likely will have discussed health implications of them years ago if any managed to get here and were dangerous. But Covid 19 - the one we have now (19 being a clue nobody thinks it was the first) - has created a pandemic that the others had the potential to do but none did.

So this one is novel in that respect because it did. And everyone refers to it as Covid for short. So you surely knew what I meant. Much planning for a pandemic was built around a flu like pandemic and only months before Covid arrived there was a chilling BBC documetary that was created as an experiment using mobile phones to imaginarily infect people following the plans and science to see how it spread across a real town and beyond. It assumed the same premise.

We discussed it in here in the early days of the pandemic.

By chance the town they chose to be focus and involved many of the citizens in had one of the very first real Covid cases after the simulation when the real thing arrived.

 

[feedthegoat27]

Novel?
CV was being discussed at parliamentary level ,Mr Hunt Health secretary..as far back as 2015. Operation ALICE.

Covid is not novel.

Covid is .......Certificate of Vaccination Identification.

Just as Delta and omincron ....'re rearranged ...equals ....Media Control.

It's a game.one far more important than Football.

lol

 

[Phil1]

lol

It's pretty depressing reading shite like that, especially when laid up in bed pretty fucking poorly for last 4 days.

 

[Cheesy]

Novel?
CV was being discussed at parliamentary level ,Mr Hunt Health secretary..as far back as 2015. Operation ALICE.

Covid is not novel.

Covid is .......Certificate of Vaccination Identification.

Just as Delta and omincron ....'re rearranged ...equals ....Media Control.

It's a game.one far more important than Football.

Omincron?

Fucking hell, another new variant! When is this nightmare going to end?

 

[BlueHammer85]

Now it’s pretty much at the end - will the world not really care that it likely started from a Chinese laboratory?

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

Novel?
CV was being discussed at parliamentary level ,Mr Hunt Health secretary..as far back as 2015. Operation ALICE.

Covid is not novel.

Covid is .......Certificate of Vaccination Identification.

Just as Delta and omincron ....'re rearranged ...equals ....Media Control.

It's a game.one far more important than Football.

Stop smoking weed you enormous moron.

 

[feedthegoat27]

It's pretty depressing reading shite like that, especially when laid up in bed pretty fucking poorly for last 4 days.

Assuming he's not on the wind up, it's a fucking lunatic post.

Hope you're feeling better soon.