I remember reading that article, they buried the more optimistic model in the same article too, which was already looking more like the more realistic one at the time anyway.
The one caveat is I do wonder how much pressure the government put themselves on the media to go with the worst case as by doing that they increased the likelihood of them not having to implement any restrictions themselves. If you take December, there was a huge shift in behaviour with Christmas parties being cancelled all over as well as things like increased mask compliance. That did also allow for the extra few weeks to get more booster jabs done.
Doesn’t make it right in terms of reporting though.