roubaixtuesday
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 14 Dec 2019
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Hahahaahhahahaha says the forums weirdo
It's looking like weird is the new blue on here at the moment.
Hahahaahhahahaha says the forums weirdo
Impending financial doom? The economy is up 7.5% in the last year, back to levels just 2% below where they were before the pandemic started. We are currently experiencing the fastest economic growth we’ve had since the end of World War 2.
We’ve never been in a lockdown at any point during the pandemic, and the more strict restrictions that were coined a “lockdown” ended 11 months ago (almost 12, as it was 5th March 2021).
Cost of living is fucking scary nowadays, and only going to get worse short term.7% inflation and I’ve not had a pay rise since 2019 due to covid.
A lot of it is down to global supply chain blockages due to covid. It will sort itself out fairly fast in 2022 thanks to omicron.Cost of living is fucking scary nowadays, and only going to get worse short term.
A lot of it is down to global supply chain blockages due to covid. It will sort itself out fairly fast in 2022 thanks to omicron.
Was literally on a call with Goldman yesterday and they disagree but the surety of your answer suggests maybe this is your field (it’s not mine)?I can assure you the global supply chain blockages will not improve in 2022. The China - US trade lane will get worse before it gets better and the ripple effects from that region impacts all trade globally. You are looking at 2023 at the earliest and even that is optimistic.
Was literally on a call with Goldman yesterday and they disagree but the surety of your answer suggests maybe this is your field (it’s not mine)?
Yep. There are many facets to this but it is mainly driven by the ridiculous shipping costs globally. There are also huge capacity constraints that are driving this. Things are not improving and if anything rates are increasing. A container pre Covid would cost apx $1000 from China to Europe. Rates are still +$15000 and getting space on vessels is still a huge challenge. Rates may soften as we get in to Q3 or Q4 but most likely it will be 2023 at the earliest.
It doesn’t help that air transport between SE Asia and anywhere else has fallen off a cliff - that’s a lot of lifting capacity gone.