COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[bluemoon32]

How did the world rid itself of the Spanish flu?

People worked out how to beat Tiki-taka

 

[jay_mcfc]

If you can believe their figures. I don't.

I'm starting to believe most countries are fudging their numbers. It's weird how the number of deaths is always so similar in Spain. Think they're spreading out the deaths so they never go over 1000 in a single day.

 

[Deleted member 77198]

How did the world rid itself of the Spanish flu?

I don’t think it mutated much so once it had been round the population it ran out of people to infect.

SARS-CoV-2 has been around humans for three months and it’s mutated at least 8 times already.

This could be with us for a long time.

 

[AlgarveBlu]

If we are in this lockdown/isolation for about a month then it should almost die out - everyone with the virus will have either recovered or..not.

And then in theory if you have some of the restrictions still in place like no school, and people really adhere to the principles of staying at home if anyone gets sick in their household, you can get on top of and smother any outbreaks as they occur.

That will eventually fail, and we will probably be back in lockdown, but it might give us a month of semi-normality that keeps everyone sane.

The ICL model had a system where you lifted controls or put them back in place based on the number of new intensive care cases per week across the country. Once it gets to a certain point, you lock down again and then ride out the wave that comes post-lockdown.

Eventually through doing that we'll treat a lot of people in good (ie not overflowing) hospital conditions and kill time before effective treatments or vaccines.

How does any economy sustain itself in that stop-start scenario? I agree with your prediction and have previously asked about what phase 2 may entail, but if you couple this scenario with the predicted timelines for a vaccine (assuming we can create one) then we are talking about remodelling the very commercial infrastructures we have built for some time; assuming you're talking about building up to a significant portion of the global population having immunity (and again assuming we have immunity for a sustained period).

 

[Ban-jani]

I don’t think it mutated much so once it had been round the population it ran out of people to infect.

SARS-CoV-2 has been around humans for three months and it’s mutated at least 8 times already.

This could be with us for a long time.

8 times! Fucking hell that’s crap.

 

[Gabriel]

Encouraging to see Johnson & Johnson is confident that it has a possible vaccine and is seeking to start using it in September. A long way off yet and much work to be done, but any good news should be welcomed.

 

[Blue Hefner]

Encouraging to see Johnson & Johnson is confident that it has a possible vaccine and is seeking to start using it in September. A long way off yet and much work to be done, but any good news should be welcomed.

I thought it read, human trials in September

 

[MCFC1993]

I’ve been PM’ing a poster on here and he’s just shared a video with me of a Korean Doctor. In the video he states immunity isn’t guaranteed and there’ve seen numbers of people coming back with symptoms, after already having it and recovering days earlier.

Does anyone know more?

This is potentially awful for European strategy.

Very unlikely, watched a video with Dr Fauci and Dr Mike (Youtuber Doctor, decent guy actually) and they both said they don't know of a virus yet where some level of immunity isn't formed after having it.

More likely that the testing was inaccurate, false positives and what not.

 

[Akpowell]

I thought it read, human trials in September

It did

 

[BlueAnorak]

After three consecutive summers it just ran out of new people to infect.

same with all pandemics throughout history.

It's called Herd Immunity!