Andy Burnham just said on BBC News he hopes GM will be in tier 2. Not a chance. He too seems to be watching days old data if he says -as he just did - GM only risen by 1% this week so should be released. Last week maybe so.
In the past seven days the weekly pop rises in GM say otherwise.
Yes Wigan has done very well and gone down 24 but the overall trend is only one way. But Manchester up 18, Oldham up 16, Salford up 34, Stockport up 44, Tameside up 22 and Trafford up 71 tells you all you need to know.
Those are much worse than they were when the government decided tier 3 not tier 2. I agree that was an arguable call but you certainly could not do it now given the above upward curves. Let alone the 17% level of the mutant strain the BBC were also just now telling us they were 'given access to today' (though it was easy to read on here or Twitter yesterday morning so not sure why it needed them to get access to it as if it were somehow top secret).
As I have been posting all day this over reliance on days old data is leading people to make bad decisions.
We need a proper lockdown now let alone on Boxing Day and we absolutely cannot go down a tier given the rise of this new strain in the NW. That would be catastrophic.
They just need to dump these tiers and stop the ability to transfer the virus from tier to tier by the same rules for everybody and so no way to cheat the system.
Just creating yet more levels and complexity is ridiculous. If it leaves anywhere for people to go to get round the rules and spread the virus that is what it will do.