COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Healdplace]

And Northern Ireland completes the set.

No deaths happily.

But with 106 new cases today after 118 yesterday - the biggest weekend total in my recall. In June they were getting about 4 or 5 cases over two days.

No word on testing numbers so no % until tomorrow probably. But testing numbers have between 7000 and 7600 all week and yesterdays 118 was from 7621 - which translates to a similar % to Wales of 1.5% - so today is likely to be around there.

Week to week last Sunday the N I cases were 49.

Which means all three nations other than England so far today having testing rates between 1.5 and 2.3 % - which is certainly a concerning figure as it is a marked upswing.

Oh and a prisoner in N Ireland has also contracted the virus. And a pub been shut by the health board after being identified as a problem.

 

[Healdplace]

So todays new cases for the three nations are a worrying 412 - by a long way the most in months, Last Sunday it was half that at 228. And that felt high then. But every one of the nations has had a big week on week rise today.

 

[Healdplace]

On the other hand the hospital death number is just 3. Same as 7 days ago.

Last week this fell to 1 in all settings.

And 1487 cases were added from England to create 1715 in total for the UK. Which then was rather high.

If today England follows the pattern we will likely top 2000 today unfortunately.

Hopefully it will surprise us.

 

[ayrshire_blue]

Of the 208 infections in Scotland, 8 are in people over the age of 65.

5 kids 0-4
28 in the 5-19 age range
167 in the 20-64 range.

 

[Healdplace]

I guess that is still OK about 4% in the most vulnerable category. That coupled with the possibility that those most vulnerable to it maybe caught it in the Spring and tragically died before we learnt to treat it better and lockdown became something they took seriously after the death rate for the older age groups became too visibly obvious to ignore.

Might be why we are where we are in a better place than the case numbers might otherwise bring.

We may yet avoid a second wave of big death numbers and full hospitals before a working vaccine appears.

If we get through the next 6 months without returning to major health problems in hospital then I think we may see the end of the tunnel approaching,

But things can quickly change of course. That is going to be why watching the data closely still matters.

 

[Healdplace]

Sadly it is worse than even I feared.

2 all settings deaths and 2988 - you read it right - new cases.

The media will be in doom and gloom overload.

 

[Blue Hefner]

Everyone's immune system is weaker than it was 6 months ago. A mate of mine is one of these people who is just never ever ill, never known him to have so much as a headache in years, a few weeks ago he started with a sore throat and a high temperature, he felt absolutely shocking so sent off for a test, it was negative.

This is gonna happen a lot in winter, getting a cold is no longer gonna be a bit of a nuisance anymore, its gonna be the end of the fucking world.

I'm no expert on immune systems but I find it hard to believe 30+years for my bodies work can be undone by a few months of semi-lockdown

 

[BlueAnorak]

The best part of 3000 new cases today is not good. Social distancing is non existant with our youth and young adults though, so it is no surprise.

 

[Healdplace]

The NW scoreboard today is as you might expect not just busting records but obliterating them.

London 308 - up from 232 - to new record but modest considering the UK numbers. Just double a few weeks ago

Midlands 420 - up from 127 - huge rise to double the previous worst. About 3 x two or three weeks ago.

Yorks 371 - up from 165 - again a record and roughly 3 x a week or two ago.


And the North West - an unbelievable 706! That is up from 281 and by miles a new high. Pushing 4 times two or three weeks ago.

GM is not going to look pretty be warned.

 

[Keith Moncrieff]

Cases high but nowhere near the same hospital admissions and deaths way below flu, cancer etc