COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[The Light Was Yellow Sir]

Well another 2 months of lock down here in Melbourne with curfews until Nov 23 at least unless we have 14 days of no new cases which we have about as much chance of as Yaya has of scoring our winner against Liverpool this year.

I should be thankful we are allowed to go out for two hours each day as long as you are alone and don't say hello to anyone passing by on your travels.

We have around 70 new cases a day and other than some parts of Peru we will have the longest lock downs of any part on this planet before we are through with the longest curfews.

The police are now arresting people who post face book posts critical of our Communist Governments actions whose total incompetence and mismanagement of this health issue has resulted in this draconian response.

Our Federal Government refuse to step in and legislate to break curfews , open up the local economy again before all of the local businesses cease trading for good.

No social activity at all other than taking your dog for a walk during the day.

The Victorian government has ruined my two businesses with the health response to Covid 19 I am now living on my savings because I don't qualify for welfare.

They used to say its a dog life and life is a woman and then you die.

I wish I was a dog living in North Korea.

At least City will bring some joy back into my life and that of my family.

At least in the old dart they have some idea of civil liberty and democracy.

There’s a few on here that don't think that’s going far enough.....

 

[True_Blue69]

Well I'm concerned. Both my primary school aged kids have come down with symptoms after just 2 days in school.

Rang the testing centre and their system is partially down. Can't direct me to the testing centre at the airport near me, told me I have to drive to one 60 miles away, over two hour's drive there and back with two ill kids. Yeah, right.

If other families are facing similar after the return to school then this could be one huge disaster.

Seen loads of people saying the same thing, that's what happens unfortunately when we don't mix and our bodies natural defences are not having to build any immunity to the day to day bugs we come across. Going to be a long winter with people off work and school constantly as they have a cough or another minor symptom. Hope your 2 kids are feeling better soon.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital deaths up first as often are Sunday given there is not much counting to do.

3 in total - exactly the same as last Sunday. But 0 from the North West (last week was 1). Which is good news. Though NW rarely records deaths over the weekend so they may appear on Tuesday.


The three deaths are all in past 48 hours though and there are 2 from Yorkshire and 1 from East England.

So the data is:

5 Sep adds 2 = 2 after one day (so 2 on the day totals back to back after being 0s and 1s since 27 Aug).

4 Sep adds 1 = 3 after two days.

That's it so

3 Sep is still at 3 after three days, 2 Sep is at 9 after four days and after big numbers up to now has a shot at avoiding going double digit tomorrow.

And 1 Sep has a five day total of just 3.

Obviously no earlier dates move either.

 

[Healdplace]

As usual Sundays I will do the total of five day numbers for past 3 weeks. Up to Sep 1 - last date we have 5 days of death numbers added together.


Week 12 - 18 Aug total 35 (avg per day 5) with add ons over 3 weeks since total is now 40 (still under 6 avg).

Week 19 - 25 Aug total 34 (avg per day 4.85) with add ons over 2 weeks since total is now 38 (so still around 5.4)

Week 26 - 1 Sep total 30 (avg per day 4.3) and with adds on over 1 week since total is now 33 (so now under 5)

As you can see these figures show the England hospital death rates ARE still falling which is good news.

Whilst the more recent the total obviously the less death there will be in total added - but as you can see the difference up to 3 weeks only adds 3, 4 and 5 per week - so no big backdating adds on are happening.

And the first number given 35, 34, 30 is all from the same measure week to week - the total at 5 days of reporting deaths on that date. So the fact these are still falling is most significant

 

[Mr Partridge]

Everyone's immune system is weaker than it was 6 months ago. A mate of mine is one of these people who is just never ever ill, never known him to have so much as a headache in years, a few weeks ago he started with a sore throat and a high temperature, he felt absolutely shocking so sent off for a test, it was negative.

This is gonna happen a lot in winter, getting a cold is no longer gonna be a bit of a nuisance anymore, its gonna be the end of the fucking world.

 

[mancity1]

I wondered where you were, sorry you have it so tough, must be a real worry for you and the family

I am very surprised to hear your government are being so extreme , not so much on lockdown but the clamping down of posts on social media etc , that is surely leaving them open to legal action ?

The lock down , the curfew and the lack of commonsense in opening up the businesses many of whom have had no clients for 7 months is pure ideology especially seeing many of those are located in areas where there has been no covid spread at all.

This virus affects the vulnerable , the elderly and those individuals with comorbidities and they haven't been protected enough.

In Melbourne 99 per cent of the spread came from a botched hotel quarantining arrangement largely comprised returned overseas travellers.

A total disaster that never should have occurred and the protests from a City that rarely engages in such activity is on the rise for the removal of basic freedoms.

The pandemic has highlighted the lack of need for State Governments and many states have locked their borders which is sheer lunacy.

The number of deaths from suicide , lack of early diagnosis of other diseases etc because of the public response will far outweigh the risk posed this virus to community health.

The economic and social fall out will take many years if not generations to recover.

The science and the vast majority of individuals with experience in handling epidemiology know that harsh lockdowns have far more risk that reward associated with them.

The virus will eventually spread through all communities no matter how you attempt to " reduce its spread " and effects people with different immune systems differently.

As for the legal ramifications many will attempt class actions against a bankrupt government who will appeal to the High Court under the guise that they had a legal right under the Constitution to take the action they did.

The people of Melbourne have had enough so expect many a street protest that become violent to come unless the State Government does what it should have from the outset and that is protect the elderly and vulnerable and the health workers as much as is possible and let the rest of the community get on with their lives.

 

[Healdplace]

Anyone in Scotland look away now. Awful figures here.

No deaths happily but 208 cases at a rate of 2.3% - a huge increase in these numbers lately. And that % is the highest I have seen from anywhere in the UK. Up at the levels they have been getting on mainland Europe

Let us hope the pattern continues of these not translating into deaths as they are mostly younger people testing positive who may brush it off. Though as Kaz testifies. Not always even if you think you got over it.

 

[Healdplace]

Last week it was 123 cases at just 0.7% of tests.

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland today have 4 in icu (same) and 245 in hospital which is 3 down on yesterday. and 6 down on this time last week also. Which is good news.

They also announced that next week they are changing the way they measure patients in hospital with Covid to take account of the manner of testing. Not sure if numbers compared to past weeks will then become meaningless.

 

[Healdplace]

Wales sadly join the club of a recent high in case numbers - though happily no deaths here either.

There are 98 new cases in Wales at a rate of 1.5%.

Think this is the first time these two nations have been so high on the same date.

I do not recall over 300 cases on a day from just these two countries in months.