COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Regional England patient hospital numbers:

London up 6 from 549 to 555 (wk ago 373) Ventilators down 88 to 87 (wk ago 66)

Midlands up from 936 to 1027 (wk ago 640) - highest % rise. Ventilators up 105 to 109 (wk ago 90)

North East/Yorks 1327 to 1401 (wk ago 1025) - Ventilators up 110 to 113 (wk ago 104)



But the North West yet again has a really worrying set of numbers and busts the bank on all the above:



Patients up from 1817 to 2042 - the largest daily increase yet. It was 1399 a week ago.

The last time 2042 were in NW hospitals with Covid was on the 5 May - getting further back toward the April peak daily.

That peak was 2890 on 13 Apr and as you can see we only need to add 849 patients to surpass that first wave peak total.

The NW is the closest to reaching that unwelcome number.

And the North West Ventilators are up by 19 from 167 to 186. (wk ago 140). This is now over half way towards the maximum the NW had in the first wave (350) on 18 April.

The date when there were last 186 in the NW was 7 May - just 19 days after that ventilatoir peak in NW hospitals.

This is how close we seem to be to a worse wave than in April.
 
Nellies left peg said:
He's fucking scaremongering. How the fuck does he come up with all that Kaz? He added "unless we take action". His expertise is in stating the bleeding obvious
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Well at 200 per day, 1,400 per week you are into "10's of thousands" in a matter of 14 weeks. That's the end of Jan.

Seems entirely plausible therefore that by the end of winter therefore we'll be into 10's of thousands of deaths. I'd say it's pretty much inevitable at this point actually. Barring a complete, national, multi-week lockdown... which doesn't seem to be on anyone's agenda.
 
Kirkstall Blue said:
My grand daughter age 11 has got very clingy hanging on to her Mums arm/shoulder every second totally unlike her I put it down to growing up hormones I hadn’t even considered COVID anxiety.
but this generation of young children are having a dreadful childhood and there parents. don’t know how to handle it only with patience and knowing it will be over eventually.
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It will be over before you know it. Middle of next year and you'll be thinking thank God and in 2 or 3 years time you'll be looking back and thinking WTF was all that about.

Try to stay positive mate. For 99% of people this is not the end of the world.

I realize this post and my previous one are seemingly contradictory, but that's how I see it. Yes, it's going to be bad, but yes the vast majority of us will come through it unscathed.
 
Chippy_boy said:
Well at 200 per day, 1,400 per week you are into "10's of thousands" in a matter of 14 weeks. That's the end of Jan.

Seems entirely plausible therefore that by the end of winter therefore we'll be into 10's of thousands of deaths. I'd say it's pretty much inevitable at this point actually. Barring a complete, national, multi-week lockdown... which doesn't seem to be on anyone's agenda.
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That is assuming nothing is done and rates continue. Surely we cannot afford to sit back and stagger into a situation like that. Scary indeed
 
The GM scoreboard is unfortunately really bad. Highest it has ever been apart from that day of huge add ons when thousands of lost cases were added and most of them from the north west.

Totals 2442 - up from 2062 yesterday and 800 - 900 up on every day last week up to last weekend when it has started to escalate dramatically.

So as a percentage of todays North West total this is 44.7% up from about 38% of the total as it was a week ago when numbers were going down.

Once again six of the boroughs had over 200 cases - and two of them over 300. For the first time nobody at all had less than 150.
 
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