COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[grunge]

This guy is well worth keeping up with, he's being fact based, uses all the facts available and peer reviewed medical journals to come to his conclusions in his vid's..

he's a medical professor so knows his stuff.




Edit: Watching this now, this one is about the calculations of mortality rates, the fluctations on it, time lag etc.

Also trying to compare good clinical care vs poor clinical care.

Edit2: Imperial collage in London ( major medical source ) suggesting 1% mortality rate with there modelling.

 

[marco]

so when we have a stable percentage of the death rate lets assume 3% then those figures (in the UK) can be worked with and you may find if your fit,young and healthy you have say a 1% chance of death where as someone over 50 who smokes could have a 6% chance of death, thats a little scary if your middle aged

 

[Le Havre Oswald]

Think I may have it fuck

 

[denislawsbackheel]

so when we have a stable percentage of the death rate lets assume 3% then those figures (in the UK) can be worked with and you may find if your fit,young and healthy you have say a 1% chance of death where as someone over 50 who smokes could have a 6% chance of death, thats a little scary if your middle aged

why do you presume it targets the older or infirm?
Spanish flu didn’t.
It targeted fit, healthy young adults with strong immune systems.

 

[TonyM]

If I was the virus I wouldn't target me. Where's the fun in that. Surely it'd be better sport infecting the rich and beautiful.

 

[SebastianBlue]

why do you presume it targets the older or infirm?
Spanish flu didn’t.
It targeted fit, healthy young adults with strong immune systems.

That is the presumption by researchers right now because this is a severe respiratory illness and older/infirm people are classified as at-risk for more severe complications with such illnesses. Early death metrics show skewing older, as well. But we won’t have a particularly sound understanding of mortality rates for sometime. And perhaps, not at all, as there are reports China are taking actions to suppress reported deaths to keep the reported mortality rate lower and if the virus were to establish itself in large poor urban centres elsewhere in the world the vast majority of cases and deaths would likely go unreported, unfortunately. The totals for the Spanish Flu are still debated today for that very reason, actually.

And, although this is not an influenza virus, so Spanish Flu is not a great model for COVID-19 apart from establishing an understanding of how *a* virus can spread, it is worth noting that the Spanish Flu had a bimodal mortality rate, meaning mortality was high in people 20-40 years old and people 65 years and older (which is the latter “expected” at-risk group). It *did* disproportionately impact the older/infirm. This was in addition to increased risk in the very young, which is nearly always the case with any illness, unfortunately.

 

[snorky]

Think I may have it fuck

Violate yourself.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

Think I may have it fuck

Disable your account, you need to think of all of us on here & not yourself ;)

 

[BlueHammer85]

Has the Chinese government been on TV to address the nation about this ? just out of curiosity

 

[SebastianBlue]

Has the Chinese government been on TV to address the nation about this ? just out of curiosity

This is as close as they have come, which caused quite a stir and generally not in the good way.

‘Let’s Not Shake Hands’: Xi Jinping Tours Beijing Amid Coronavirus Crisis
China’s leader, who rarely mingles with the public, visited several sites in the capital and spoke to medical workers in Wuhan via video conferencing.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/10/world/asia/xi-jinping-coronavirus.html