COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Ha that is me,i hardly ever go out the door,i always knew city would kill me in the end !
 
The average age of the deceased in Italy is 81. Wouldn’t it make sense for some advice to be given out to more elderly people and those at risk due to underlying health issues. it might reduce the death rate a bit.
 
Is that what this boils down to,who is right on how many die,how bloody sad.
No clearly not. I just quoted flu deaths from 30 years ago and said I thought it would be less than that. Chippy thinks half a million people will die. But when questioned further thinks a fifth of that will die.
 
But it is 10 times as deadly you said. Aren't the Chinese taking all drastic measures. I don't understand your logic . If it's 10 times as deadly then you should stick by that multiple. Not throw an even higher figure of 500,000 out and then immediately downplay your original of 100000 because when put on the spot you suddenly think it won't be as deadly in this country ? You don't seem to have that much confidence in your figures? Can I remind you we were always talking about deaths in this country.
wtf are you talking about? I haven't downplayed anything.

And you don't need to remind me of anything. I am talking about UK figures.

It's at least 10 times as deadly and unchecked 40m or 50m people could get it. That would mean 400,000 to 500,000 dead, in the UK at least and more if the mortality rate stays higher than 1%, as it is at the moment.

I hope we may be able to limit the spread of infection to perhaps 10m and therefore only 100,000 dead, in the UK.

Clear?
 
You don't need to remind me of anything. I am talking about UK figures.

It's at least 10 times as deadly and unchecked 40m or 50m people could get it. That would mean 400,000 to 500,000 dead, in the UK at least and more if the mortality rate stays higher than 1%, as it is at the moment.

I hope we may be able to limit the spread of infection to perhaps 10m and therefore only 100,000 dead, in the UK.

Clear?

Only 100,000 dead ffs give your head a shake
 
Apart from a few posters who are
Sane this thread has just gone into scaremongering by a few dickheads, nobody knows what’s going to happen they could find a vaccine in the next few months 5 deaths is hardly groundbreaking out of 350 confirmed cases never mind people who haven’t got tested who have got better at home on their own. I think some of you should get a life or better still fuck off your phones for a few months

Optimistic estimates say 12-18 months. Even Trump hasn't said 5 months!!

Public Health England suggest that 80% of the population could get it. That isn't scaremongering, that is believing the scientists
 
Unexpected news today from a top German virologist who gave up his hope (after interpreting a new US study)
that spring and summer would help to win some more time for the medical system.

In contrast to winter flu Covid-19 seems to be less seasonal, Germany will directly run into an epidemic wave.

Bundesliga matches in certain regions probably will take place behind closed doors next weekend, further spreading.
 
Apart from a few posters who are
Sane this thread has just gone into scaremongering by a few dickheads, nobody knows what’s going to happen they could find a vaccine in the next few months 5 deaths is hardly groundbreaking out of 350 confirmed cases never mind people who haven’t got tested who have got better at home on their own. I think some of you should get a life or better still fuck off your phones for a few months

Maybe so.
Though ever since I was a kid I've remembered the Quatermass serial on tv with the numbers multiplying & then multiplying again, until ...
 
The average age of the deceased in Italy is 81. Wouldn’t it make sense for some advice to be given out to more elderly people and those at risk due to underlying health issues. it might reduce the death rate a bit.

Mostly men i believe and average age of 81 like you say. Not that it’s any consolation to them but you’d like to think that we won’t see similar numbers and death rate across the board.

Another interesting thing I read was that 95% of the infections have come from 4 or 5 countries.
 
Optimistic estimates say 12-18 months. Even Trump hasn't said 5 months!!

Public Health England suggest that 80% of the population could get it. That isn't scaremongering, that is believing the scientists

How many a year die of seasonal flu
Scientists I remember them saying millions will die of bird flu haha
 
Apart from a few posters who are
Sane this thread has just gone into scaremongering by a few dickheads, nobody knows what’s going to happen they could find a vaccine in the next few months 5 deaths is hardly groundbreaking out of 350 confirmed cases never mind people who haven’t got tested who have got better at home on their own. I think some of you should get a life or better still fuck off your phones for a few months
Find a vaccine in a few months?
Where? Under a fucking magic tree?
You don’t just find these things. If one’s ready in a year it will be a world record.
 
Only 100,000 dead ffs give your head a shake
Churchlawton will remind you that 26,000 died of normal flu only a few years back.

4x worse for something which may infect several times more people* and which is 10x more deadly, would be a 'good" outcome.


* It's more infectious and we have zero resistance.
 
You don't need to remind me of anything. I am talking about UK figures.

It's at least 10 times as deadly and unchecked 40m or 50m people could get it. That would mean 400,000 to 500,000 dead, in the UK at least and more if the mortality rate stays higher than 1%, as it is at the moment.

I hope we may be able to limit the spread of infection to perhaps 10m and therefore only 100,000 dead, in the UK.

Clear?
No sorry that's not clear at all. I said I asked you how many people you thought would die in the UK after you said it was 10 times more deadly and more contagious than flu. By my maths that means you clearly thought that at least 10times more people would die than the flu virus 30 years ago, ie 250000. But then you strangely backtracked and said it would be 100000 deaths, after throwing a random 500000 into your response. So either you don't think it is as deadly in the uk as you first stated in or you can't do simple maths. My guess is it's the first one and you actually don't believe it will be 10times as deadly in the UK. Anyway have a good evening.
 
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