COVID Data Thread

[Healdplace]

ANOTHER HISTORIC TABLE:- WEEKLY POP SCORES IN GREATER MANCHESTER

Hopefully this one will soon JUST be history.

Probably nobody wll be surprised to hear that.....

Every single GM borough has a four figure Pop Score. Until the past week only Manchester and Trafford had achieved that and briefly and not at the same time.

Every single borough is at its highest Pop Score acoss the pandemic



SALFORD 1697* - was 1022 last week & 420 last month *Highest ever Weekly Pop Score in GM

TRAFFORD 1645 - was 1147 last week & 444 last month

MANCHESTER 1617 - was 1029 last week & 336 last month

STOCKPORT 1611 - was 959 last week & 397 last month

TAMESIDE 1478 - was 708 last week & 396 last month

BURY 1409 - was 971 last week & 389 last month

WIGAN 1399 - was 618 last week & 400 last month

ROCHDALE 1171 - was 665 last week & 419 last month

OLDHAM 1101 - was 606 last week & 313 last month1

BOLTON 1099 - was 628 last week & 322 last month

 

[Healdplace]

For historic context:

At the start of the Delta wave which began in Bolton on 25 April these were the weekly Pop Scores:

Wigan 24, Tameside 28, Stockport 29, Bury 30, Rochdale 34, Trafford 34, Salford 35, Oldham 37, Bolton 47, Manchester 49

At the height of the Delta wave arriving in Bolton on 23 May they were:

Stockport 14, Tameside 18, Oldham 28, Salford 31, Rochdale 40, Wigan 40, Trafford 46, Bury 53, Manchester 59, Bolton 456

The wave then spread to the rest of the UK and everyone eventually rose like Bolton did.

But these GM numbers V todays are a very dramatic illustration of just HOW infective Omicron is versus Delta ans how it spreads much faster and much further.

Hopefully as South Africa seems to show it burns out just as rapidly.

And thank goodness it is seemimgly a lot less dangerous than Delta.

Other than the danger to the NHS ability to cope via sheer numbers and staff off sick self isolating. Which we should not under estimate and if restrictions do come in will be the reason why.

 

[Healdplace]

WALES DATA

This covers two days

3 deaths - no easy comparison with last week but there were 6 reported last Tuesday for a single day

12,378 cases - again no easy comparison as this is two days and last Tuesdays 2375 was just one (and last Monday was two) but you can still see it is WAY up.Probably at least doubled.

(That three day total last week was 9171)

Positivity 23.8% - it was 14.8% last week.

No Hospital Data for 6 days now frustratingly.

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE DATA UPDATE

HEADLINE:- NORTH WEST HAS SHOT UP FROM THE BEST ENGLAND REGION 10 DAYS AGO TO ONLY JUST BEHIND LONDON IN SECOND PLACE FOR UKs WORST AND INCREASING MORE THAN A SLOWING LONDON

NOT A SURPISE GIVEN THE RECENT GM NUMBERS SADLY


Predicted daily cases now 183,592 - up from 177,302 day before

Ongoing infections 1,898,593 - up from 1,808,011 day before.

Both of these are highest ever by far and two million ongoing cases (about one in 34 people) is almost here.

 

[Healdplace]

THE ZOE GRAPH OF ONGOING CASES WITH THE FAINTEST HINTS OF A SLIGHT SLOWING OF THE NEAR VERTICAL INCREASE IN PAST DAY OR TWO

 

[kaz7]

The number of people in hospital with COVID in England has risen to 9,546, according to latest figures.

This is up 38% from a week earlier and is the highest number since 3 March.

The latest figure compares to 8,474 yesterday, according to NHS England and indicates a 12% rise in the number of people in hospital in a single day

COVID: Number of people with coronavirus in hospital in England rises to 9,546

The government has announced that there will be no new restrictions put in place in England before the New Year - putting Downing Street out of step with the devolved administrations.

news.sky.com

 

[blueparrot]

The number of people in hospital with COVID in England has risen to 9,546, according to latest figures.

This is up 38% from a week earlier and is the highest number since 3 March.

The latest figure compares to 8,474 yesterday, according to NHS England and indicates a 12% rise in the number of people in hospital in a single day

COVID: Number of people with coronavirus in hospital in England rises to 9,546

The government has announced that there will be no new restrictions put in place in England before the New Year - putting Downing Street out of step with the devolved administrations.

news.sky.com

At the moment though this figure is unhelpful. If as @Healdplace has just shown there are nearly 2 million 1 in 30 with covid those in hospital with covid will rise quickly , it doesn’t tell us how fast those in hospital because of covid is rising.
That is the figure we need to base our covid restriction policy on.

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND HOSPITAL REGIONS

Up by 1072 from 8474 to 9546.

A rise of about 30% in just 48 hours.

Moreover the rises are starting to be everywhere.

London up 384 to 3024.

North West up 166 to 1392.

NE & Yorkshire up 188 to 1077

Midlands up 128 to 1571.

South East up 116 to 1042,


Ventilartors are DOWN though by 18 to 758

Midlands, South East and Yorkshire up. The other main regions down. Including North West down to 88.

 

[Healdplace]

At the moment though this figure is unhelpful. If as @Healdplace has just shown there are nearly 2 million 1 in 30 with covid those in hospital with covid will rise quickly , it doesn’t tell us how fast those in hospital because of covid is rising.
That is the figure we need to base our covid restriction policy on.

No,it doesnt but the numbers do matter as they are at this rate fast going to get to a tipping point n England where with staff off isolating or sick and normal mid Winter reasons for patient rises already a problem then a deeper problem may occur.

You add 1000 a day for the next 10 days and we are heading for 20K plus in England.

And we do not yet know what Omicron is doing to the other nations but we have to suspect they too will escalate even if the numbers getting really sick are a small fraction as that small fraction of a huge number can be a lot.

We have to hope the cases flatten off and fall as they dd in South Africa not stay at 125 K a day if that is the number resulting in 1K a day going into hospital in England.

 

[Gabriel]