COVID Data Thread

[Healdplace]

42 deaths - all in England

It was 143 last Monday but the holidays suggest we should be cautious of any real comparison as reporting is all over the place and will be until after Wednesday.

157, 758 cases

England only 137. 541

Up 13,994 on yesterday

Only England and Scotland. So probably up to 20K or more to add if Wales & N Ireland were factored in.

 

[Healdplace]

People die on ventilators , where do you think the deaths come from

Was that a reply to my post?

Not sure. But if so.

Of course they do, but that is not really relevant to comparing numbers then and now as it was always true. So the reduction in the percentage increase is still notable.

 

[kaz7]

Was that a reply to my post?

Not sure. But if so.

Of course they do, but that is not really relevant to comparing then and now as it was always true. So the reduction is still notable.

Not particular to your post but i always think the same thing , just said it today

 

[Healdplace]

Not particular to your post but i always think the same thing , just said it today

Yes it is true. I agree. Why these numbers matter. And probably why the death numbers are well down as there is a much lower percentage on ventilators than there were in the wave l2 months ago.

On 3 JAN 2021 29,033 patients & 2420 on ventilators

On 3 JAN 2022 about 16,000 patients & 850 on ventilators

The difference in numbers on them now v last year is clear. Would have been around 1400 at a rough check on the same patient ratio now if nothing had chamged.

The vaccines and natural immunity built up and possibly the different behaviour of Omicron in not attacking the lungs will be why it is well down.

I had hoped it might be a bit more of a reduction but much of that reduction is a life saved so we can only be grateful. And it may turm out to be more in the end as this time last year we were about 2 or 3 weeks away from the peak numbers and may be a not dissimilar period away a year on. So we will see what happens.

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS PAST FEW DAYS

48 hours behind as always so WED / THU / FRI / SAT

2370 - 2114 - 1781 - 1819

VERSUS SAME DAYS LAST WEEK

1246 - 1252 - 1020 - 1281


Both were holiday periods and the numbers ARE up but the picture here looks better than it might.


REGIONALLY OVER THE FOUR DAYS V SAME FOUR DAYS LAST WEEK


LONDON 511 - 450 - 319 - 314 V 386 - 390 - 278 - 364

AS YOU CAN SEE THE BIG FALL IN LONDON IS MOSTLY WHY IT HAS TURNED AROUND


MIDLANDS 503 - 395 - 359 - 340 V 201 - 206 - 173 - 219

NE & YORKSHIRE 363 - 309 - 336 - 289 V 129 - 160 - 144 - 146

THOUGH THESE TWO REGIONS FALL A BIT TOO BUT WELL UP WEEK TO WEEL EVEN AT THEIR LOWEST UNLIKE LONDON


HOWEVER - NORTH WEST

404 - 398 - 326 - 353 V 173 - 173 - 151 - 186


NOW ABOVE LONDON AND WELL UP ON LAST WEEK

AND IMPORTANTLY THE BIG RISE - OVER 400 IN ONE GO - HAPPENED IN THE NORTH WEST TODAY

AND WE WILL NOT SEE THOSE ADMISSIONS NUMBERS FOR TODAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY

BUT WE CAN ALREADY KNOW THEY ARE GOING TO BE WELL UP FOR THE NORTH WEST

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND PATIENT NUMBERS OVER THE WEEKEND

FRI/SAT/SUN/TODAY

12,395 / 12, 615 / 13, 151 / 14, 210

So up 1059 today - 419 in the NW

Others East up 51, London up 104, Midlands up 222, NE & Yorkshire up 121, South East up 101 AND South West up 101.

So every region going up today and NW easily the most. The rest fairly much akin.

MON to MON patients are up from 8474 last Monday to 14,210

A weekly rise of 5736 around two thirds up week to week.

The MON to MON rise the week before was 6688 TO 8474 = 1786 just over 20%

AND week before the rise was 6395 TO 6688 = 293 about 4%


SO A VERY CLEAR STEEP UPWARD CLIMB WEEK TO WEEK

 

[True_Blue69]

SCOTLAND CASES - THE RISE OF OMICRON OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS

CASES IN DATE ORDER:- MON 20 DEC to MON 3 JAN

6734 - 5242 - 5967 - 6215 - 7076 (CHRISTMAS EVE) - 8252 (CHRISTMAS DAY) - 11,030 (BOXING DAY) -

10,562 - 9360 - 15,849 - 16,857 - 11,962 (NEW YEAR'S EVE) - 17,065 (NEW YEAR'S DAY) -

14,080 (YESTERDAY)

20,217 (TODAY)

Looks like the ridiculous restrictions she put in place are having a huge effect…..

 

[Healdplace]

Looks like the ridiculous restrictions she put in place are having a huge effect…..

Agreed this was not going to be stopped by the time we were on to it. Just too infective and folk were just too fed up about a second Christmas disrupted. Time will tell if letting it rip unhindered works out better over letting it rip with a feather duster waved in its path. Chances are there will be little difference. Guess whichever nation comes out of this wave first with fewest casualties will be seen to have made the right choice. But it was never an easy decision either way.

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND REGIONAL CASES

Most regions up but North West far and away had the worst day today.


REGION TODAY - UP/DOWN - V SEVEN DAYS AGO



NORTH WEST 24,183 19,375 - UP from 19,375 V 13,973

North West takes over as the highest region from London with biggest weekly rise of over 10K.Not a shock with the hospital numbers today.


LONDON 20,080 - UP from 19,951 V 22,224 - down week to week

SOUTH EAST 17,195 - UP from 16,033 V 13,307

EAST 15,671 - UP from 12,556 V 11,698

YORKSHIRE 14,864 - UP from 14,298 V 11,222

WEST MIDLANDS 14,259 - UP from 11,388 V 7461

EAST MIDLANDS 13,532 - UP from 9573 V 7453

SOUTH WEST 8365 - DOWN from 9337 V 6193

NORTH EAST 7311 - DOWN from 7474 V 3190

 

[Healdplace]

GREATER MANCHESTER CASES TODAY



TOTAL 7732 - Back to normality it seems

UP by 1548 from 6184 yesterday

NW Total 24,183- UP from yesterday by 4808


GM 31.9% NW total today. WAY down again and very similar to yesterday's number of 31.1%.

A SURPRISE - SO PERHAPS GREATER MANCHESTER HAS PEAKED AND THE REST OF THE NORTH WEST IS RISING - GUESS WE WILL SEE AS THE WEEK GOES ON



MANCHESTER 1352 - UP 240 on day & UP 353 on week - Pop Score 243 (POP 23,977)

WIGAN 1288- UP 60 on day & UP 477 on week - Pop Score 389 * (POP 23,948)) Highest daily Pop score rise today again - 24K club looms tomorrow aas it does for Manchester.

BOLTON 1047 - UP 472 on day & UP 476 on week - Pop Score 363 to easily enter the 22K club today POP 22,280) Lowest Pop Score in GM across the pandemic - BUT lost 102 of its lead here over Stockport today and now ahead by 'only' 887. Quite a reversal again!

STOCKPORT 768 - UP 187 on day & UP 102 on week - Pop Score 261 to enter the 23K club after 3 days in the 22K club (POP 23,167) - another surprisingly good day here and took over 100 back from Bolton in one go.

TRAFFORD 650 - UP 59 on day & UP 112 on week - Pop Score 274 to enter the 24K club (POP 24,007) - After being best in GM across the pandemic a week or two before Christmas it is now ahead of Manchester and enters the 24 K club before them by a day! Such have the GM Pop scores squeezed together lately as vaccinations have levelled the playing field a lot it seems.


SALFORD 643 - UP 34 on day & UP 104 on week - Pop Score 245 (POP 24,870) Highest pop score in GM across the pandemic - leading TRAFFORD - now in second place ahead of Manchester for first time ever - by 863. Looks like it will be first in GM into the 25K club tomorrow. But not the last.

ROCHDALE 512 - UP 118 on day & UP 105 on week. Pop Score 229 (POP 23,762)

OLDHAM 507 - UP 138 on day & UP 220 on week - Pop Score 213. (POP 23,310) * Lowest pop score rise in GM today again nobody up on the day under 200 - unthinkable 2 or 3 weeks ago.

TAMESIDE 486 - DOWN 11 on day & UP 68 on week. Pop Score 214 (POP 23,605)

BURY 479 - UP 151 on day & UP 131 on week. Pop Score 251 (POP 23,523)