COVID Data Thread

[Healdplace]

Everyone in GM today had a good day with the possible exceptions of Bury and Stockport. With Pop scores over 30. The others were very low. Several under 20. Not seen any of those in weeks.

Bury and Stockport were both up week to week everyone else were down

Manchester has 124 cases (down from 168 last week) - the lowest high score in GM in months.

Stockport on 107 the only other one in three figures (up from 99 last week). Highest Pop Score in GM again today. And is highest overall now too.

Other scores:- Salford 78, Wigan 75, Bury 66, Trafford 65, Tameside 54, Bolton 48, Oldham 44, Rochdake 38

Many lowest scores in months here. Even Stockport's 107 would have been here last weekend. Putting it in context.

 

[Healdplace]

GM total is 699 - lowest of 2022.

Down 144 on yesterday & by 244 from 943 last Sunday

North West total 2238 - was 4253 yesterday -

So GM only falls by 144 of that huge drop of 2015. So most of the big falls in the NW today were elsewhere.

Last Sunday NW was 2657 - so a weekly fall of 419.

So the GM fall week to week of 244 is a much higher split of the NW fall than day to day is today.

Which is always the best way with falls.

To put the NW 2238 total in context here are the other England regions HIghest to Lowest


South East 4686

London 3382

East 3085

South West 2918

N O R T H W E S T 2238

West Midlands 2167

East Midlands 2133

Yorkshire 2006

North East 889

THIS IS THE FIRST SUB 1000 SCORE BY ANY REGION SINCE LAST AUTUMN

 

[Healdplace]

WALES DATA

THIS IS ONLY FOR FRIDAY LAST WEEK AND HERE V THE DATA FOR THAT DATE A WEEK LAST FRIDAY

TOMORROW WILL BE FOR THREE DAYS COMBINED - SAT, SUN & TODAY

1 death - was 1 last week

1114 cases - was 1495 week before

578 (Thursday - latest number) - was 671 last week

11 ventilated (as above) - was 14 last week

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS OVER THE WEEKEND

Deaths were up slightly over first 2 days of weekend but week to week still down and today was the best Monday in months. Tomorrow's catch up number will tell us where we really are I expect.


SATURDAY:-

129 with 22 North West

Was 118 with 14 NW last week & 134 with 25 NW the week before


By Region:- East 5, London 19, Midlands 29, NE & Yorkshire 33, North West 22, South East 16. South West 5

Most by Trust:- 12 in Mid Yorkshire

NW Trusts: - 8 in Blackpool, 2 each in Chester, Nth Lancashire, Mid Cheshire, St Helens & Warrington AND 1 each in Bolton, East Cheshire, Pennine Acute & Wigan

By Age:- 20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (7), 60 - 79 (49), 80 PLUS (72)



SUNDAY:-

32 with 6 North West

Was 17 with 1 NW last week & 24 with 10 NW the week before


By Region:- East 9, North West 6, South East 15, South West 2

Most by Trust:- 4 each in Dartford & Maidstone

NW Trusts: - 3 in Liverpool, 2 in Tameside & 1 in Pennine Acute (Oldham/Rochdale)

By Age:- 0 - 19 (1), 40 - 59 (1), 60 - 79 (10), 80 PLUS (20)


MONDAY:-

1 with 0 North West

Was 10 with 3 NW last week & 24 with 4 NW the week before


By Region:- East 1

Most by Trust:- 1 in Great Yarmouth



By Age:- 80 PLUS (1)

THIS WAS THE LOWEST TOTAL IN ENGLAND HOSPITALS IN MONTHS.

MONDAY IS ALWAYS THE LOWEST DUE TO LACK OF SUNDAY REGISTRATION AND SO TUESDAY ALWAYS THE HIGHEST AS IT ADDS ON THESE AS EXTRA CATCH UP - BUT EVEN SO THIS IS A BIG DROP AFTER WHAT WAS A RISE OVER THE EARLIER WEEKEND AS YOU SEE BELOW



TOTAL FOR THE WEEKEND 162 WITH 28 NORTH WEST

LAST WEEK 145 WITH 18 NORTH WEST & WEEK BEFORE 182 WITH 50 NORTH WEST


WHY TOMORROWS CATCH UP NUMBERS MAY TELL US THE TRUE DIRECTION OF THE NUMBERS



Here are the numbers at five days for the first 4 days of the new week - as you will see they are just about still down overall - though one is actually higher and overall the total fall is by a lot less than it was last week and exatly the same as two weeks ago - falling 21 V 117 -

But 9 of the last 10 5 day totals are below 100 and the 10th was exactly 100.



Numbers As follows (5 day totals 13 - 16 FEB):-

92 - 85 - 96 - 77

V 111 - 82 - 100 - 78 (last week)

V 113 - 139 - 119 - 117

V 130 - 147 - 123 - 119

(In the previous weeks)

That 77 on 16 Feb is the lowest five day total in 2022.

 

[Healdplace]

SCOTLAND DATA

0 deaths - was 0 last week

5307 cases - was 5118 last week

24.3% positivity - was 20.7% last week

1051 patients - was 960 last report Friday & 884 last week

13 ventilted icu - was 10 Friday & 18 last week


Looks like patient numbers are sadly heading back up in Scotland following its high Zoe case numbers over the past week or two where it als has climbed from best to almost worst UK region.

So far North West has gone in the opposite direction.

Anyone have a theory as to why?

 

[Healdplace]

NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

4 deaths - was 2 last week

2235 cases - was 2465 last week

17,176 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 18,162 ON LAST REPORT FRIDAY & 21,018 LAST WEEK

174 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 172 ON LAST REPORT FRIDAY & 171 LAST WEEK

443 patients - was 437 last week

7 ventilted - was 6 last week

THE CARE HOME OUTBREAKS EDGING UP AGAIN AND AS YOU WILL SEE BELOW THE OVER 80s ARE STILL RISING ALMOST DAILY DESPITE THE WEEKLY CASES FALLING. THESE ARE PROBABLY CONNECTED AND ARE SEEING DEATHS RISE TOO.

2.4% NOW OVER 80 TESTING POSITIVE - IT WAS UNDER 1% TWO MONTHS AGO AND TRACKING UP SLOWLY

13.3% NOW OVER 60 ALSO - THIS IS GOING UP EVEN MORE AND WAS 9% JUST A FEW WEEKS AGO AND JUST OVER 6% TWO OR THREE MONTHS AGO.

AS YOU SEE THE MAIN REASON IS THAT THE UNDER 19s HAVE FALLEN A LOT FROM BEING 44% PRE CHRISTMAS TO NOW JUST 21.8% - LESS THAN HALF

 

[Healdplace]

15 all settings deaths - was 35 last week

England 10 - was 23 last week



38,409 cases - was 41,648 last week

England 29,753 - up from 23,831 yesterday - down from 31, 943 last week

The falls have flattened off a bit now.

 

[Healdplace]

205 all settings deaths - was 234 last week

England only 170 - was 214 last week



41,130 cases - was 46,186 last week

England only 30,080 - up 327 on yesterday - was 36,471 last week - that was up 4528 on the day before

 

[Healdplace]

I am publishing less and less as the importance is fading and Gov UK also has announced today that from this week most data will not be updated over the weekend - just Monday to Friday - and three days data will be added as one on Mondays not separated out.

We are steadily heading toward the point where these threads are no longer required.

 

[Healdplace]

England Hospital Numbers

Happily the trend of Monday rise, Tuesday fall continues

Admissions (Sunday)

These WERE high as we saw from the patient rise that day (admissions always posted 48 hours later than the rest of the data)

But were still under 1000 for 4th straight day.

971 V 1029 previous week & 1211 week before then.

North West - again as its patients rise suggested - was up most on 149 V 126 last week & 155 week before - this put NW ahead of London and Yorkshire on admissions for the first time in a while.


Patients (today)

8948 - falls below 9K for first time in 8 weeks (since just before Christmas when Omicron took off).

That is a fall on yesterday of 281 from 9229 V last week 10,019 - which saw a fall of 254.

East down 6 to 912, London UP 10 to 1809, Midlands down 32 to 1676, NE & Yorkshire down 18 to 1398 ,

South East down the most - 127 - to 1141, South West down 45 to 697


AND North West down 63 to 1315 (V 1487 last Tuesday)



Ventilators (today)

284 - down 8 V 323 last week when the fell by 32 on the day

East down 2 to 32, London UP 3 to 101, Midlands down 4 to 34, NE & Yorkshire down 2 to 42,

South East down 3 to 21 , South West stays at 16


AND North West stays at 38 (V 40 last Tuesday)