COVID Data Thread

Greater Manchester has gone utterly stratospheric today. Like London did ten days or so ago. Some amazing high numbers today. We really need this to be as mild as possible as this happening just as generations mix over the coming weekend needs that and the boosters to work as it looks as if they are doing. Even Bolton over 600 today!

Wigan gone from 194 to 815 in nine days.
 
North West today had a huge jump up in cases - not just Greater Manchester where cases went to a new level today.

NW up from 10,960 yesteday to a new all time high of 14, 759.

6233 of them in Greater Manchester - up 1546 on the day and up 2650 on last week. And first time ever in the 6000s - there never even having been one in the 5000s before.

Almost every borough sets a new record today.

With multiple boroughs having Pop Scores over 200! Some over 250. Which is unheard of.
 
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Don't worry, Hank from Alabama has it covered.
 

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ZOE NUMBERS

Predicted cases have risen from 144,285 to 151,245 today.

Setting a new record every day now.

Below is also a new record on Zoe across the pandemic

Total ongoing cases today are 1,549,676 UP FROM 1,485,283 in 24 hours by 64,393 UP 5K on yeterdays rise.
 
ZOE REGIONS

Every single UK Region on Zoe is now in the dark red highest watch zone.
The numbers are remarkable too.

LONDON still top of the pile to NORTH EAST still lowest.

A COUPLE OF THEM DO FALL TODAY NOTABLY


LONDON AS YOU CAN SEE REMAINS MILES AHEAD OF THE REST AND THE ONLY ONE WITH TOTALLY UNPREDECENTED HIGH NUMBERS ACROSS THE PANDEMIC THOUGH OTHERS ARE GETTING THERE FAST AND NORTH WEST IS HEADING THERE



REGION // TODAY // MONDAY



LONDON 4914 / 5405 UP FROM 4653 / 5139

EAST 2157 / 2521 UP FROM 2017 / 2377

SOUTH EAST2193 / 2456 UP FROM 2093 / 2354

EAST MIDLANDS 1744 / 2211 FROM 1650 / 2114






NORTH WEST 1748 / 2160 UP FROM 1662 / 2070



NORTHERN IRELAND 1157 / 2572 UP FROM 1004 / 2361

YORKSHIRE 1412 / 1840 UP FROM 1345 / 1768

WALES 1351 / 1850 DOWN FROM 1355 / 1865 - WALES FALLS TODAY


WEST MIDLANDS 1376 / 1793 UP FROM 1283 / 1694

SOUTH WEST 1357 / 1656 UP FROM 1303 / 1602

SCOTLAND 1197 / 1592 DOWN FROM 1209 / 1612 - SCOTLAND ALSO FALLS

NORTH EAST 1036 / 1629 UP FROM 960 / 1541
 
ZOE ON GREATER MANCHESTER





Here is the list of the GM Zoe 10 boroughs in highest to lowest order V yesterday:


Manchester 30,476 UP from 29,256

Salford 23,051 UP from 21,788

Oldham 20,922 UP from 19,793

Bolton 19,694 UP from 19,463

Stockport 19,649 UP from 18,636

Trafford 18,746 UP from 17,465

Rochdale 16,986 DOWN from 18,649

Wigan 16,643 UP from 15,520

Tameside 15,499 UP from 12,732

Bury 12,721 UP from 11,789



All bar Rochdale going up


Much of the North West is running just below the bulk of the GM numbers:

Merseyside is still high though - Liverpool way up on 23,180 FROM 21,250 , Wirral down again on 16.233

Cheshire West down to 15,862 & Cheshire East up to 12,841 & High Peak falls to 12,084

The highest NW numbers are in Greater Manchester.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA


Admissions (Tuesday) topped 1000 for the second day running after none in many weeks.

1098 - up from 815 last week & 798 the week before

By far the most in London - up from 199 to 307

North West up from 109 to 186

Midlands and Yorkshire up much less.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA PATIENTS

7114 - up 34 - last Thursday it up by 47 to 6405.


London up 61 to 2097.

This is up 637 on last week. A rise of about 50%.

East was up 29 on 657, South East fell today by 8 to 822 and South West fell by 7 to 484.

Midlands down by 10 to 1246 and Yorkshire down by 40 to 814.



North West UP 9 to 992. A weekly rise of 144.


No question that the two areas with the highest cases are seeing rises in patients and North West will almost ceertainly escalate but as yet rising modestly.
 
ENGLAND VENTILATED PATIENTS

747 - up 2 on yesterday. Was 783 last week

London down 2 to 196, North West up 2 to 88.

Others East up 11 to 92, Midlands down 5 to 127, NE & Yorkshire down 9 to 94.

South East up 6 to 99 and South West down 1 to 51
 
LONDON DOWN from 27,799 TO 26,307 Was 23,272 last week.

SOUTH EAST DOWN from 16,680 TO 16,618 . Was 13,568 last week

These two regions are down and pretty flat Omicron or not after just a week or so.


NORTH WEST UP from 10,960 TO 14,759. Was 7787 last week

North West is going the other way - rising rather like London did around 10 days ago at the start. And had its biggest ever daily rise today. And climbed above East in doing so. Looks like NW is the new focal point of Omicron.


EAST UP from 12,546 TO 13,091. Was 9621 last week.




Others:

West Midlands UP from 6924 TO 9921. Was 5141 last week. -

A near 50% rise here too to a new high and looks set on the same path as London & North West


East Midlands UP from 6668 TO 7944 . Was 5040 last week. Also starting to go into new highs


South West UP from 6051 TO 8058. Was 5413 last week.

Yorkshire UP from 4328 TO 5947. Was 4417 last week.

North East DOWN from 2276 TO 2795. Was 1754 last week.


GREATER MANCHESTER 6233. Out of the 14,759 North West.

GM is 42.2% of the North West today. Down from over 41.9% -so signs that GM are settling flat perhaps.
 
Greater Manchester Data


6233 cases today - UP by 1546 on yesterday - from the rise of 3799 in the NW

That is just over 40% of the regional rise today in Greater Manchester.

Which though it might not look it is an OK day for GM - relatively


Week to week GM is up by 2650 from 3583 - from the NW rise of 6972.

That is again good ( a 38% rise of the NW total).



So Greater Manchester remains high but had a pretty good split of the NW case numbers.


BUT THE GM SCOREBOARD IS LITTERED WITH RECORDS ACROSS THE PANDEMIC TODAY





MANCHESTER 1251 - up 109 on yesterday & Up 480 on last week POP SCORE 225 (now 20,913) Wow! Highest ever cases on one day in GM. Will enter the 21K club tomorrow bar a miracle.

WIGAN 815 - up 422 on yesterday (up by more than the entire score yesterday) & Up 496 on last week - one of the highest ever weekly jumps POP SCORE 246 (now 20,492) Highest ever daily Pop Score here.

SALFORD 668 - Up 39 on yesterday & Up 234 on last week POP SCORE 254 * (now 21,398) * Highest Pop Score today AND highest pop score in GM across the pandemic for second day running - 430 now ahead of Rochdale. Huge rise here in 48 hours. Bulldozes as first GM borough into the 21K club yesterday and over a third through it already in 48 hours!

BOLTON 641 - up 294 on yesterday & up 337 on last week POP SCORE 223 (now 19,630) - Lead on Stockport slashed with these surprisingly huge numbers today - now just 64 ahead of Stockportfor lowest Pop SCre across the pandemic and its highest score ever

STOCKPORT 584 - up 97 on yesterday & Up 186 on last week POP SCORE 199 - sub 200 a rarity in GM Today (now 19,694) HIghest on both cases and Pop score here ever.

TAMESIDE 576 - up 141 on yesterday & up 350 on last week. POP SCORE 254* (now 20,512). * Joint highest ever Pop Score today with Salford. This is a shockingly high number in Tameside.

TRAFFORD 492 - up 54 on yesterday & Up 9 on last week POP SCORE 207 (now 20,684) Now a staggering 990 behind Stockport but has seemingly flattened off - hopefully!

BURY 482 - up 193 on yesterday & up 158 on last week POP SCORE 253 (now 20,730 ) Another highest ever scorehere and only just did not make it a tripple whammy of highest ever Pop Scores being just 1 behind Salford and Tameside


ROCHDALE 422 - up 124 on yesterday & up 185 on last week POP SCORE 189 (now 20,968) Will enter the 21K club tomorrow

OLDHAM 302 - up 73 on yesterday & up 115 on last week POP SCORE 127 * (now 20,436) * Lowest Pop Score today. HIghest ever low score and first time the lowest cases in GM have been over 300!




Just 2 left in the 19K club and 7 in the 20K club today but Rochdale and Manchester heading for a Christmas Eve entry into the 21 K club tomorrow. And with these numbers you have to say anything goes
 
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GREATER MANCHESTER BOROUGHS

Weekly Case Totals

Manchester's score of near 7000 is the first time ever any borough has got near there in GM during the pandemic. 7000 averages 1000 a day is why! Salford leapfrogged into second over 3000 with its big score today but Stockport joined it in this otherwise unheralded territory for both. And everywhere is at their highest numbers ever recorded. Indeed only two boroughs are sub 2000 and at the rate things are going that might not last the week.


Oldham 1662, Rochdale 1849, Bury 2102, Tameside 2318,Bolton 2370, Wigan 2825, Trafford 2853, Stockport 3166, Salford 3253, Manchester 6878
 
GREATER MANCHESTER POP SCORE TABLE





After today: CURRENT POP SCORE (Up or Down Past Week) / Pop Score as it was 4 Weeks Ago today


OLDHAM 700 UP 251 / 300

BOLTON 823 UP 368 / 349

ROCHDALE 827 UP 292 / 442

WIGAN 854 UP 367 / 382

TAMESIDE 1021 UP 561 / 406

STOCKPORT 1076 UP 413 / 383

BURY 1103 UP 338 / 388

TRAFFORD 1201 UP 318 / 408

SALFORD 1238 UP 554 / 448

MANCHESTER 1238 UP 602 / 324




Six boroughs - over half of GM - above 1000 in Pop Scores for the first time ever. The lowest score on 700.

Manchester and Salford now joint top scores on unprecedented for either 1238.

Some gigantic weekly rises too. The lowest - 251 - would have been gigantic in the old pre Omicron days!

And 602 up in a week in Manchester is mind boggling.

Oldham top and doing well but that is on 700 - a score nobody in GM got near until recent weeks!

A very surreal table when you think back to the start of Delta in the Summer where Bolton's 300 or so was a big deal and Stockport was under 20 not over 1000.
 
Healdplace said:
GREATER MANCHESTER POP SCORE TABLE





After today: CURRENT POP SCORE (Up or Down Past Week) / Pop Score as it was 4 Weeks Ago today


OLDHAM 700 UP 251 / 300

BOLTON 823 UP 368 / 349

ROCHDALE 827 UP 292 / 442

WIGAN 854 UP 367 / 382

TAMESIDE 1021 UP 561 / 406

STOCKPORT 1076 UP 413 / 383

BURY 1103 UP 338 / 388

TRAFFORD 1201 UP 318 / 408

SALFORD 1238 UP 554 / 448

MANCHESTER 1238 UP 602 / 324




Six boroughs - over half of GM - above 1000 in Pop Scores for the first time ever. The lowest score on 700.

Manchester and Salford now joint top scores on unprecedented for either 1238.

Some gigantic weekly rises too. The lowest - 251 - would have been gigantic in the old pre Omicron days!

And 602 up in a week in Manchester is mind boggling.

Oldham top and doing well but that is on 700 - a score nobody in GM got near until recent weeks!

A very surreal table when you think back to the start of Delta in the Summer where Bolton's 300 or so was a big deal and Stockport was under 20 not over 1000.
Click to expand...
The figures around new year could be extraordinary.
 

Sir Patrick Vallance defends scientists' role in pandemic​

The government's chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, has said the responsibility of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) is not "to take a particular policy stance or to either spread gloom or give Panglossian optimism".
His comments in The Times appeared to be in response to criticism over modelling by the SPI-M scientific modelling group, a subgroup of SAGE, that said Omicron hospital admissions could reach 10,000 a day and deaths 6,000 if further restrictions were not introduced.
Those who have criticised "need to consider all the data in the round, not only those parts that fit an argument while ignoring the rest", he wrote in The Times.
"That is not science, even though it might sometimes make an entertaining read."
He said science is "self-correcting" and "advances by overturning previous dogma and challenging accepted truths".
A range of views and opinions are needed, he said, and added that no scientist would claim to "have a monopoly of wisdom on what happens next
 
Won't be posting as much over coming days of course.

But will try to update when I can and data appears.

A lot of missing stuff as it is weekend and most countries are not updating for several days anyway due to Christmas.

However, Wales has today posted by far its highest ever single day numbers. So Omicron has arrived there it seems,

10 deaths and 6755 cases V 3 deaths and 3129 cases last Friday.

Positivity was 20% V 11.9% last week. So a real doubling of cases. Not test related.

Thank goodness this is milder as it is so infectious it seems to spread everywhere very fast once it takes hold and Greater Manchester is right in the thick of it this weekend.

Happy Christmas all.Enjoy yourselves. But stay safe.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS TODAY

NB THIS WILL BE THE LAST NUMBERS FOR ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS UNTIL AFTER CHRISTMAS AS THEY NEVER PUBLISH WEEKENDS AND MONDAY IS A BANK HOLIDAY TOO.

Headline:- Deaths are now certainly creeping up - and NW had the most of them today - the bulk over the last 48 hours. 23 Dec recorded 17 on the first day after 22 Dec was 18. The two highest in England on day 1 in 2 months. And the two day total for 21 Dec is already 70. The most since 4 Nov. 21. And 20 Dec after 4 days is at 81.Most there since 10 Nov. So these are definitely rising now. But not as yet at a level that looks concernig given the huge case numbers.


106 with 22 North West - Last week it was 100 with 14 NW & week before 81 with 18 NW



By region:-

East 13, London 19, Midlands 20, NE & Yorkshire 16, North West 22, South East 9, South West 7



Most by Trust:-In the NW below


NW Trusts:-

6 in Liverpool (cases running high here too now), 2 each in East Lancashire, North Lancashire. Manchester, Pennine Acute & Wigan AND 1 each in Mid Cheshire, Southport & Warrington

By age:-

0 - 19 (1) 20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (17), 60 - 79 (42), 80 PLUS (45)
 
SCOTLAND DATA

STILL CLIMBING


10 deaths - was 7 last week

7076 cases - was 4336 last week

14.6% positivity - was 10.1% last week

536 patients - was 540 yesterday & 522 last week

34 ventilated - was 38 yesterday & 32 last week


Better hospital numbers - probably discharged all they could for Christmas
 
HERE IS THE LAST NORTERN IRELAND DATA TREE IN A WHILE

LOOKS JUST LIKE A CHRISTMAS TREE AND FULL OF HOPE TOO

SEE THE OLDER AGE GROUPS WHO ARE MOST VULNERABLE TO CIVID BUT ALSO HAD THE MOST JABS AT THE TOP VANISHINGLY SMALL IN THE OVER 17,000 CASES IN THE PAST WEEK

ALSO HOW THE UNDER 20s THAT WERE DRIVING IT (MOSTLY SCHOOL AGE) ARE NOW BEING USURPED BY THE 20 - 39s DRIVING THE WAVE AND MOSTY CATCHING OMICRON - ESPECIALLY THE 20 - 24s- THE ONES LEAST LIKELY TO HAVE HAD THE BOOSTERS.

HENCE THE BIG PUSH TO VACCINATE THEM PRE CHRISTMAS

THIS CHRISTMAS TREE OF HOPE VISUALLY PROVES THE VACCINES WORK AS THE AGES MOST VACCINATED ARE LOWEST AND VICE VERSA. NO CONSPIRACY. JUST SCIENCE.

1640355462727.png
 
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