COVID Data Thread

Greater Manchester Data


4687 cases today - UP by 967 on yesterday - from the rise of 2479 in the NW

That is just over a third of the entire regional rise today in Greater Manchester.

Which though it might not look it is a good day for GM - relatively


Week to week GM is up by 1190 from 3497- from the NW rise of 3337.

That is again good ( a third of the NW total).



So Greater Manchester remains high but had a pretty good split of the NW case numbers. Just sees not because everywhere is so high.






MANCHESTER 1142 - up 283 on yesterday & Up 403 on last week POP SCORE 206* (now 20,688) Second time over 1000 here but not a new high.


SALFORD 629 - Up 283 on yesterday & Up 241 on last week POP SCORE 240 (now 21,144) * Highest Pop Score today AND highest pop score in GM across the pandemic - 258 now ahead of Rochdale. Bulldozes as first GM borough into the 21K club and then some!.

STOCKPORT 487 - up 51 on yesterday & Up 52 on last week POP SCORE 165 (now 19,495) Stockport is now 88 behind Bolton who took their best Pop Score across the pandemic yesterday and threaten to race clear.

TRAFFORD 438 - down 6 on yesterday & Up 11 on last week POP SCORE 184 (now 20,477) Now a staggering 982 behind Stockport

TAMESIDE 435 - up 187 on yesterday & up 96 on last week POP SCORE 192 (now 20,258).

WIGAN 393 - up 10 on yesterday & Up 189 on last week POP SCORE 119 (now 20,246)

BOLTON 347 - up 49 on yesterday & up 78 on last week POP SCORE 120 (now 19,407) - Leads Stockport by 88 - despite its highest score in months. Bolton and Stockport are now the last two standing in the 19K - for maybe a week!

ROCHDALE 298 - up 64 on yesterday & up 77 on last week POP SCORE 133 (now 20,779)

BURY 289 - up 40 on yesterday & DOWN 10 on last week POP SCORE 152 (now 20,477) Only borough to have fallen from last week

OLDHAM 229 - up 6 on yesterday & up 33 on last week POP SCORE 97 * (now 20,309) * Lowest Pop Score (and only one just under 100) today.




Just 2 left in the 19K club and 7 in the 20K club today but the one now in the 21K club wil not last long either with Rochdale and Manchester heading for a Christmas present of the song 21 today.
 
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GREATER MANCHESTER BOROUGHS

Weekly Case Totals


Manchester's score of over 6000 is the first time ever any borough has got near there in GM during the pandemic. Salford leapfrogged into second over 3000 with its big score today. And everywhere is at their highest numbers ever recorded. Indeed ANY of these totals would have been enough to be top a few weeks ago!


Oldham 1548, Rochdale 1664, Bury 1944, Tameside 1968,Bolton 2033, Wigan 2329, Trafford 2844, Stockport 2980, Salford 3019, Manchester 6398
 
GREATER MANCHESTER POP SCORE TABLE





After today: CURRENT POP SCORE (Up or Down Past Week) / Pop Score as it was 4 Weeks Ago today


OLDHAM 652 UP 231 / 294

WIGAN 704 UP 277 / 366

BOLTON 705 UP 303 / 357

ROCHDALE 744 UP 249 / 432

TAMESIDE 867 UP 467 / 397

STOCKPORT 1012 UP 416 / 367

BURY 1019 UP 359 / 395

SALFORD 1149 UP 562 / 424

MANCHESTER 1152 UP 599 / 322

TRAFFORD 1197 UP 432 / 392




Five boroughs - half of GM - over 1000 in Pop Scores for the first time ever. Or even close.

Some gigantic weekly rises too. The lowest - 231 - would have been gigantic in the old pre Omicron days!

Oldham top and doing well but that is by staying UNDER 700 - a score nobodsy in GM got near until recent weeks!

And Bolton nearly double where it was last Spring when Delta arrived and it was on the national news driving the wave as not just the highest in GM but the UK.

And now on 705 it has the best Pop SCore acrss the entire pandemic streaking clear of Trafford and Stockport who have scrapped between them for nearly 2 years for that lead but via Omicron are now 'way up there'.

Probably will tell us someghing why these things have happened as they have.
 
968,665 boosters and third doses delivered yesterday, which is an incredible number.

Add that to the very positive data coming out about Omicron and its a good news day in my view.
I think the better news is that we are getting between 30 and 40000 first time vaccines per day at the moment.
The penny seems to have dropped with a lot of people who for whatever reason have not come forward in the past 12 months.
 
There were far more patients in hospital this time last year as we had no vaccines (first few were started just days before) and London and the south was in the thick of a wave then too.

21,488 in hospital in UK v around 8000 now.

1529 on ventilators V around 800 now.
Thanks, needless to say comparisons between the figures will happen, but the main thing is last year we coped
 
Thanks, needless to say comparisons between the figures will happen, but the main thing is last year we coped
We did but 18,800 NHS staff are off sick or isolating since Omicron arrived. A 50% jump this week. THAT is the difference as to why small increases in numbers of patients might stress out the NHS fast.
 
We did but 18,800 NHS staff are off sick or isolating since Omicron arrived. A 50% jump this week. THAT is the difference as to why small increases in numbers of patients might stress out the NHS fast.
Again numbers which ask other questions, but the vast amount will be back after 10 days and immune to a large degree, so London being far in advance does suggest we can cope with a % of last years very high figures in late January
 
WALES DATA



10 deaths - was 0 last week

3292 cases - was 2889 last week

15.1% positivity - was 10.5% last week - this might suggest the low test issue Scotland suspected yesterday - TESTS ARE TAKING MUCH LONGER TO COME BACK IT SEEMS AS SO MANY MORE ARE BEING DONE

330 patients - was 362 last week

29 ventilated - was 33 last week


THE GOOD NEWS IS HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE STILL FALLING AND THE CASES RISE - IF WE CAN TRUST IT - IS MODEST TODAY THOUGH DEATHS ARE WELL UP _ A LEGACY OF RECENT HIGH CASES I FEAR
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS TODAY

Headline:- Deaths are now clearly creeping up - though small numbers and more flat than going up big.

The past 7 day totals at 5 days are this week (12 - 18 DEC) totals 508 - last week it was 477 - week before 498 - week before 496 - week before 475 & week before 589 - SO AS YOU SEE IT IS THE HIGHEST IN 5 WEEKS. BUT NOT LEAPING UP. AND LIKELY A RISE IS INEVITABLE GOING INTO MID WINTER OWING TO CO MORBIDITY INCREASE. BUT NEEDS WATCHING.



101 with 15 North West - Last week it was 96 with 22 NW & week before 107 with 17 NW



By region:-

East 11, London 16, Midlands 27, NE & Yorkshire 14, North West 15, South East 7, South East 11



Most by Trust:- 6 in Imperial College, London


NW Trusts:-

6 in St Helens (HAD VERY HIGH CASES FOR SOME TIME HERE UP TO 2 WEEKS AGO), 2 each in Bolton, Pennine Acute & Southport AND 1 each in Manchester, Mid Cheshire & Wigan

By age:-

20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (12), 60 - 79 (39), 80 PLUS (49)
 
The Office for National Statistics said around 1.4 million people in the UK had COVID in the week ending December 16, which was the highest number since comparable figures began in autumn 2020.

Around one in 45 people in private households in England also had COVID in the week to December 16, which was up from one in 60 the previous week.

 
TODAY'S ZOE GRAPH OF THE RISE OF OMICRON (MAYBE THE NEXT STAR WARS MOVIE TITLE!) - THAT VERTICAL LINE ON THERIGHT OVER PAST WEEK IS STILL GETTING STEEPER - BIGGEST EVER DAILY RISE TODAY

THEY ARE GOING TO NEED A BIGGER GRAPH TO FIT IT ON ANY DAY NOW - AS IT WILL LIKELY TOP THE 1.6 MILLION ONGOING CASES SCALE TOMORROW IT IS 1,549,676 TODAY - MOST EVER BY MILES OBVIOUSLY - UP 64,393 IN PAST 24 HOURS

PREDICTED CASES REPORTED TODAY - 151,245 - ANOTHER NEW RECORD - UP 6960 ON YESTERDAY
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The Office for National Statistics said around 1.4 million people in the UK had COVID in the week ending December 16, which was the highest number since comparable figures began in autumn 2020.

Around one in 45 people in private households in England also had COVID in the week to December 16, which was up from one in 60 the previous week.


This is great news herd immunity here we come
 
The Zoe ongoing cases almost exactly matches the ONS data of over 2% of the population having Covid right now. Which is good to know that instead of once a week we can have a pretty reliable day to day check on these numbers.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

GOOD LUCK WITH WORKING OUT HOW MANY ACTUAL CASES SHOULD BE TODAY.

NB:-

SCOTLAND REPORTED YESTERDAY THEY WERE INVESTIGATING A DATA ISSUE AND BOY WAS THERE ONE. THEY SAY YESTERDAY SHOULD HAVE BEEN 5967 - NOT THE 2434 CASES REPORTED - SO THEY WERE ONLY 3533 OUT!

HOWEVER, TODAYS NUMBER DOES NOT INCLUDE THAT NUMBER IT IS A WHOPPER ON ITS OWN - THAT EXTRA 3533 HAS JUST BEEN ADDED TO THE COLLECTIVE TOTAL NOT TODAYS.

NOT SURE IF GOV UK WILL UPDATE YESTERDAY'S NUMBER BUT IT TRULY WAS 109,655 NOT THE RECORD 106,122 AS REPORTED ON ALL THE NEWS TODAY. NOT SURE IF MOST MEDIA WILL CATCH ONTO THAT.


ANYHOW TODAY's 'ACCURATE' NUMBERS ARE:-


11 deaths - was 18 last week

6215 cases - was 5951 last week - BUT SEE THE NOTE ABOVE AS THE DELAYS IN TESTING COMING BACK GO ON

12.7% positivity - was 10.8% last week

540 patients - was 536 yesterday & 534 last week

38 ventilated - was 40 yesterday & 34 last week


HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE RISING AGAIN AND UP WEEK TO WEEK FOR FIRST TIME IN A WHILE BUTNOT AS YOU SEE AS YET BY MUCH GIVEN THE HUGE RECENT CASE NUMBERS
 
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NORTHERN IRELAND DATA


1 death - was 6last week

3227 cases - was 2237 last week - another 50% increase here too.

17,248 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 16,026 YESTERDAY & 12.548 LAST WEEK - HIGHEST WEEKLY CASES SMD STILL RISING DAILY

44 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - WAS 41 YESTERDAY & 35 LAST WEEK - SADLY THESE NOW RISING DAILY TOO

254 patients - was 261 yesterday & 309 last week

26 Ventilated - was 26 yesterday & 25 last week

HOSPITAL PATIENTS THOUGH STILL GOING DOWN

- MOST LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE AGE SPLIT SHOWN IN THE POST BELOW
 
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From Yesterday despite cases up over 1000

0-19 DOWN 23 FROM 4440

20 - 39 Up 1000 again - almost all the rising numbers are in this age group daily

40 - 59 up 214

60 - 79 up 70 - most in a while here

80 Plus - DOWN 2 !

This is still pretty good news given the big rise in cases. But with the rise in care home numbers statting now we need to watch where this goes.




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