COVID Data Thread

[Healdplace]

183 all settings deaths - was 206 last week

England only 156 V 170 last week



51,899 cases - was 54,218 yesterday & 66,538 last week

England only 40,376 - was 42,756 yesterday & 53,993 last week

Last week Wed to Thu England fell by 5200 - today by 2380

 

[blueparrot]

The number of cases are double what they were a couple of weeks ago since Gov UK adopted the higher number from the new method.

It was 4355 two weeks ago on Gov UK.

Under uk figures of the last 2 weeks which as you posted were a mystery and have recently reverted to the Scottish figures yes. Under the Figures the Scottish gov web site published they are flat and have been for about 3/4 weeks.

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND HOSPITAL NUMBERS

The falls are a little slower than last week but are still happening - and another good fall in ventilators




Admissions: (Tuesday)


1144 V 1266 last week & 1537 two weeks ago

North West 140 V 148 V 235


Patients (All other data today V last week)


9600 - down 204 V last week 10,734 - down 337


Only SW goes up


East down 47 to 897 V 1033

London down 32 to 1972 V 2122

Midlands down 77 to 1731 V 2101

NE & Yorkshire down 21 to 1488 V 1729

South East down 15 to 1333 V 1399

South West UP 22 to 776 V 788

AND

NORTH WEST down 34 to 1403 V 1562



Ventilators


303 - down 23 V last week 384 - FLAT


East up 1 to 32 V 40

London down 15 to 103 V 137

Midlands down 8 to 43 V 62

NE & Yorkshire down 4 to 40 V 44

South East FLAT on 30 V 30

South West Up 2 on 13 V 13

AND

NORTH WEST Up 1 on 42 V 59


Ventilators now the lowest here since 3 July.

UK total is also the lowest since mid Summer on just 332 today

 

[blueparrot]

The number of cases are double what they were a couple of weeks ago since Gov UK adopted the higher number from the new method.

It was 4355 two weeks ago on Gov UK.

Not really sure what your point is, the figures published on .gov.scot have used the same method of counting and the last 4 Thursdays are
9408,8262,8275,8210 and todays 7341.
Only the UK have changed how they count Scottish numbers, which may look like they have doubled, they haven’t though.

 

[Healdplace]

Not really sure what your point is, the figures published on .gov.scot have used the same method of counting and the last 4 Thursdays are
9408,8262,8275,8210 and todays 7341.
Only the UK have changed how they count Scottish numbers, which may look like they have doubled, they haven’t

Sorry I was not trying to argue what you were saying as you may well be right,

I just meant that they HAVE risen double v the numbers recorded by Gov UK for Scotland so they are adding a higher percentage of the UK daily numbers since the change than they were as that number always featured the one on the UK site not the higher number on the Scotland release for the week or two before.

I have no clue how real it is in terms of translation to other things like hospital data. Quite possibly it has no relation Just happy the numbers are now comparable and make sense.

 

[Healdplace]

158 all settings deaths - was 193 last week

England only 130 - was 160 last week



47,685 cases - was 51,899 yesterday & 58,899 last week

England only 36,900 - was 40,376 yesterday & 46,736 last week

 

[Healdplace]

WALES

1260 cases - 10.9% positivity - 8 deaths - 578 patients & 11 ventilated

WAS LAST WEEK

1899 cases - 13.5% positivity - 18 deaths - 650 patients & 15 ventilated


SCOTLAND

7056 cases - 21.3% positivity - 16 deaths - 960 patients & 11 ventilated

WAS LAST WEEK

7341 cases - 20.3% positivity - 11 deaths - 902 patients & 21 ventilated


NORTHERN IRELAND

2469 cases - 4 deaths - 18,162 weekly cases - 172 Care Home outbreaks - 370 patients & 5 ventilated

WAS LAST WEEK

2923 cases - 4 deaths - 22,758 weekly cases - 175 Care Home outbreaks - 438 patients & 11 ventilated

 

[Cassandra]

Sorry I was not trying to argue what you were saying as you may well be right,

I just meant that they HAVE risen double v the numbers recorded by Gov UK for Scotland so they are adding a higher percentage of the UK daily numbers since the change than they were as that number always featured the one on the UK site not the higher number on the Scotland release for the week or two before.

I have no clue how real it is in terms of translation to other things like hospital data. Quite possibly it has no relation Just happy the numbers are now comparable and make sense.

The curves below (ex Travelling Tabby) Show the trends over the last year in Scotland (Lower Curve ) and the UK as a whole (Upper Curve) for Cases(blue line), Hospital admissions (yellow line) and Deaths (red line). The Scotland curves included LFD +ves from 5th Jan; I don't know if or when England etc include LFD +ves. The scales are different on the two curves - the cases maximum represent 16,407 for Scotland and 212.837 for the UK as a whole for comparison. The last few weeks are interesting - Scotland showing a very gradual decline in cases whilst the UK as a whole shows a much more rapid decline in cases whilst the hospital cases and deaths curves look more similar for both Scotland and the UK. Makes me think that England are not including LFD +ves in their figures?

 

[Healdplace]

Thank you those are very interesting.

Would not surprise me if your suspicions are right.

The best person to ask is Roubaix.

I would like to know how he interprets this too.

Though what is worth noting is that Zoe data has shown Scotland steadily climbing from in 11 or 12th of the 12 UK regions to today being in 4th place - up from 6th yesterday.

So Zoe is detecting a very clear rise in Scotland less obvious in England. Though some Southern England regions are rising.

London having been top, then fallen a lot in January is now back on Zoe in 2nd - ahead of Scotland.

North East, Yorkshire and North West have been in the three best England places for days now with only Wales below them. And London, South East, South West and East are the top 4 England regions and have been for a while with the two midlands regions in the middle.

The Gov UK cases tend to match these placements for the England regions rather well.

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE APP GRAPH TODAY

As you can see the downward curve in ongoing cases is still there but is clearly shallower than the one we had in early January after which numbers started to rise again.

Not sure how to interpret these numbers.

Predicted cases today were 171,900 - down from 175,379 yesterday & 181,425 day before & 185,193 day before that. Today is the lowest fall of this week so far. But is still falling at least. Abd by a decent number.

Hard to predict where this is going tbh.

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE NUMBERS

Not looked at these in detail in a while and they are very useful to see how the UK is going. As weekends are quiet data wise this is a good day to look at trends here.

Notice how rapidly Scotland has been rising from 11th and 12th a few weeks ago to 3rd highest today. AND the only one rising today.


Predicted cases fall again as they have now for two weeks:-

On 167,932 - down from 171,900 yesterday & 204,434 last Saturday


Onging symptomatic cases also still falling:-

On 2,606,678 - down from 2,631,184 yesterday & 2,676,140 last Saturday


UK Regions:- UP/DOWN v yesterday on first number

1: N IRELAND 3022 / 4823 - DOWN 170

2: LONDON 2865 / 3216 - DOWN 15

3: SCOTLAND 2557 / 3041 - UP 29

4: SOUTH EAST 2604 / 2859 - DOWN 50

5: SOUTH WEST 2444 / 2784 - DOWN 23

6: EAST 2366 / 2704 - DOWN 39

7: WEST MIDLANDS 2152 / 2603 - DOWN 107

8: EAST MIDLANDS 2060 / 2508 - DOWN 96

9: NORTH WEST 1916 / 2301 - DOWN 107 (First Time in over 3 months sub 2000)

10: NORTH EAST 1749 / 2411 - DOWN 30

11: YORKSHIRE 1835 / 2256 - DOWN 72

12: WALES 1713 /2193 - DOWN 75

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE NUMBERS - NORTH WEST

The western part of the region is high and the east - Greater Manchester included - falling - opening up quite a split.

Though Preston has by far the biggest numbers - having quadrupled in a couple of weeks on a region high 102,491 - doubled in the past week.

Cheshire West is now falling (has been over 60K) on 56,522 but Cheshire East is doing better showing the West to East split well - falling slowly on 36,064

Wirral - overlapping with Cheshire West - was up in the mid 50s last week but is falling on 47,313

Liverpool though is still rising and doubled over the week on 50,921

St Helens is falling on 55,361 - but has been 66K a few days ago


GREATER MANCHESTER:- CASES PER MILLION POP / UP OR DOWN / ONGOING ACTIVE CASES

Lowest numbers best - except for falls in case numbers when higher the better

1: BOLTON 16,439 - UP 8 - 4659 - UP 3

2: ROCHDALE 21,474 - DOWN 1436 - 4691 - DOWN 314

3: STOCKPORT 24,881 - DOWN 1857 - 7189 - DOWN 537

4: TRAFFORD 26,830 - DOWN 2914 - 6282 - DOWN 683

5: OLDHAM 31,754 - DOWN 3030 - 7430 - DOWN 709

6: SALFORD 34,668 - DOWN 3554 - 8757 - DOWN 898

7: MANCHESTER 35,329 - UP 2118 - 19,262 - UP 1155

8: BURY 36,521 - DOWN 2616 - 6887 - DOWN 494

9: WIGAN 37,329 - DOWN 1024 - 12,065 - DOWN 361

10: TAMESIDE 44,798 - UP 674 - 10,024 - UP 151

 

[Healdplace]

128 All settings deaths - was 167 last week (England and N Ireland only)

England only 123 - was 147 last week


UK cases 34,377 - England & N Ireland only (Scotland & Wales do not report Saturdays now).

Was 46,025 last week (when Scotland DID report but Wales did not)

England only 32,230 - was 36,900 yesterday & 37,791 last week

 

[Healdplace]

Last post today unless I can get the hospital number before kick off -

Greater Manchester 843 cases - lowest in 3 months

All nine boroughs aside from Manchester (211 V 241 last week) are well down on last week AND all nine are under 100 for the first time since last autumn.

 

[Healdplace]

England hospital numbers just in time for KO

Admissons Thursday 971 - lowest so far in 2022

Patients today DOWN 71 to 9187 - last week it fell 357 to 10,010

EVERY REGION FALLS APART FROM YORKSHIRE AND THE NORTH WEST - THE LATTER RISING FROM 1227 YESTERDAY TO 1321 TODAY. THE MOST TODAY.

Ventilators - however - continue their slide - down 7 to fall below 300 on 296 for the first time since 3 July.

NW falls 2 to 37. Its lowest since 4 JUNE.

That is certainly the one number that really matters here today


More tomorrow

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE NUMBERS

Not looked at these in detail in a while and they are very useful to see how the UK is going. As weekends are quiet data wise this is a good day to look at trends here.

Scotland still rising and 3rd highest today. AND the one of only 2 rising today.


Predicted cases fall again as they have now for two weeks:-

On 164,839 down from 167,932 yesterday & 192,327 last Sunday


Onging symptomatic cases also still falling:-

On 2,576,898- down from 2,604,607 yesterday & 2,684,253 last Sunday


UK Regions:- UP/DOWN v yesterday on first number

1: N IRELAND 3242 / 5073 - UP 220

2: LONDON 2814 / 3159 - DOWN 51

3: SCOTLAND 2636 / 3124 - UP 79

4: SOUTH EAST 2550 / 2802 - DOWN 54

5: SOUTH WEST 2404 / 2739 - DOWN 40

6: EAST 2259 / 2588 - DOWN 107

7: WEST MIDLANDS 2085 / 2527 - DOWN 67

8: EAST MIDLANDS 1930 / 2365 - DOWN 130

9: NORTH EAST 1748 / 2405 - DOWN 1


10: NORTH WEST 1839 / 2215 - DOWN 77 (Lowest in over 3 months & drops from 9th)


11: YORKSHIRE 1778 / 2198 - DOWN 57

12: WALES 1698 /2174 - DOWN 15

 

[Healdplace]

ZOE NUMBERS - NORTH WEST

The western part of the region is higher than the east - Greater Manchester included - but falling mostly- though after opening up quite a split.

Preston has by far the biggest numbers - having quadrupled in a couple of weeks on a region high abd highest I have ever seen on 124,162 - more than doubled in the past week.

Cheshire West is now falling (has been over 60K) on 50,823 but Cheshire East is doing better showing the West to East split well - but now falling very slowly on 35,947

Wirral - overlapping with Cheshire West - was up in the mid 50s last week but is falling on 45,559

Liverpool though is still rising and doubled over the week on 53,948

St Helens is falling on 49K


GREATER MANCHESTER:- CASES PER MILLION POP / UP OR DOWN / ONGOING ACTIVE CASES

Lowest numbers best - except for falls in case numbers when higher the better

1: BOLTON 15,975 - DOWN 464 - 4527 - DOWN 132

2: ROCHDALE 20,453 - DOWN 1021 - 4468 - DOWN 223

3: STOCKPORT 22,894 - DOWN 1987 - 6615 - DOWN 574

4: TRAFFORD 25,542 - DOWN 1288 - 5980 - DOWN 302

5: OLDHAM 27,652 - DOWN 4102 - 6470 - DOWN 860

6: SALFORD 31,096 - DOWN 3572 - 7855 - DOWN 902

7: BURY 32,675 - DOWN 3846 - 6162 - DOWN 725

8: WIGAN 34,014 - DOWN 3315 - 11,020 - DOWN 1045

9: MANCHESTER 38,268 - UP 2939 - 20,864 - UP 1602

10: TAMESIDE 44,474 - DOWN 324 - 9952 - DOWN 72

 

[Healdplace]

74 all settings deaths (only England and N Ireland reported today) V last week 52

69 England only V 50 last week

Unfortunately a little bit of an increase in England as you can see. N Ireland (5 V 1) was up wk to wk too.



25,696 cases - was 34,377 yesterday & 41,270

England only 23,831 - was 32,230 yesterday & 32,316 last Sunday

N Ireland added 1865 V 2158 last week

Scotland (5301 last week) & Wales (1495 last week) added nothing today. As both n o lomger publishing at weekend,

So most of what looks like a big fall of 16 K week to week will not be that when these are added on.

But the England fall of 8485 wk to wk is real.



THE ENGLAND CASE NUMBER IS THE LOWEST RECORDED SINCE 8 NOVEMBER

 

[Len Rum]

25,696 cases
74 deaths.
Death numbers seem a bit high.
Official case numbers don't mean a lot.

 

[Healdplace]

Wales from this weekend have stopped reporting altogether other than Monday to Friday

Only Wednesday, Thursday & Friday will report the numbers from the past 24 hours.

The Monday report will contain the Friday of the previous week number & The Tuesday numbers will be for THREE days added together every week - the previous Saturday, Sunday & Monday.