If you think of the money he has lost already by not signing a new contract with us it must be pretty clear he is off, say he was getting a rise of £80k per week and he could have been earning this for over 12 months that is a lot of coin to miss out on. The wages on offer at Bayern must be pretty impressive for him to turn down a contract offer from us.
When does his contract actually run out? my worry is that he doesn't go at the end of the season but holds out for another 12 months and goes next January when Bayern would get him for peanuts.