Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,736
This doest really stand up to any critical thinking / analysis.Was watching One of the political you tube channels yesterday. They were all in agreement that whoever the Republicans put up v Biden (Except Trump) would win easily. Also whoever the Democrat’s put up (Except Biden) v Trump would also win easily.
Fuckin crazy.
On the GOP side, they are a Trump cult. If Trump is not on the ticket whatever series of events that triggers that will send them into free fall and chaos. There is no way a single figure could unite that shitshow.
On the Dem side you have to go back and look at the last primary. Biden's main rivals were equally old. And largely unpopular outside of the party. Biden was the legacy candidate from the Obama years and a safe option. He was by far the best of that bunch at the time. Everyone thinks he's now too old but he is still that safe option and has a great record. If he stood aside the likely winner would be Harris and she's equally unpopular or maybe Newsome who has a record form California which in the minds of swing state shy voters is a liberal hell hole.
So in either case both parties don't have a good path to an alternative. It's going to be those two and the outcome is going to be decided by who can keep their shit together. On the basis the legal walls are closing in on Trump those odds make no sense. But then who puts money down this far out. It's like betting on the winner of next seasons fa cup.