No, odds offered by a bookie are as substantial to the campaign process as me saying surprise third party candidate Weird Al Yankovich will win the election, bet on it.
Just because John Q **** from somewhere in the world bets a hundred quid on Trump doesn't mean anything regards to him winning.
I bet that Biden 5/2 shortens in no time because folk will think "that's worth a punt, I'd make x amount" then the bookies will go "fuck that, drop it to evens, stem the flow" and without a single vote cast, he'll be the favourite with the bookies
We're talking many millions of bets ^_^. This is the definition of a "statistically predictable" event that remains in the balance. Everyone, stock markets and businesses and media and academics are modelling it constantly. Every fucker is modelling it based on the latest data. The odds reflect those models because people have access to them, and they want to make money.
People everywhere on the internet, sitting their coping, are overlooking something about America. It is a very divided nation. States make their own laws.
Regarding this verdict, should be aware that Picket fence America detests and distrusts NY. TBH I'm not suprised by the verdict but I wasn't impressed by the case. Wow, a verdict. OJ Simpson was a verdict. Did we believe that?
All of America distrusts authority. It reserves the right to keep arms to 'keep the govt from their door'. It culturally detests govt in a way we experience once in a blue moon. It had a civil war you may have heard about, right before the industrial revolution. It never got over it for long. It refuses social medicine. It equates socialism with communism and throws people in jail for party membership. It salutes the flag and sings the anthem every day.
That is the side of America Trump and Republicans get. The vast numbers of people who you and I never meet or speak to or see. What appeals to them. It doesn't appeal to us.
What it is, is flags and shit, and the spirit of American independance and 'freedom' etc.
It ain't rocket science. And it aint nice words about trials and verdicts.