pantalon violet again
Well-Known Member
blumoon said:Mathematics of the Ebola outbreak reveal near-impossibility of global containment: it's already too late according to some.
Current analysis shows that Ebola infects 1.5 - 2.0 new people for every new infection, and the cycle time on this is less than 30 days. This means that the number of people infected with Ebola is growing by roughly 150% - 200% every month.
If you nearly double something every month, it doesn't take long for it to explode out of control. Imagine having a bank account that started in January with just £1,000 and magically doubled every month. In February, you'd have £2,000; in March you'd have £4,000 and so on. By December, you would have over £2 million sitting in the bank.
Ebola spreads in much the same way: exponentially. It isn't a simple linear increase; it's an exponential explosion that can grow from a small number of isolated patients to a global pandemic seemingly overnight.
Time to polish off the Nukes