AlgarveBlu
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 21 Aug 2005
- Messages
- 3,930
humble pie for a few 'financial experts' on here
The IMF and other such global bodies/states will all take that line because in essence there are probable elements of truth in what they state, it's part of their mandate to ensure that there is global fiscal stability as they are the global lender of last resort. The question though that I think has to be asked is what is the medium term implication to the UK and EU - Short term even the leavers will agree that there will naturally be some disruption and negative impact on the economy in the UK- that's just a by-product of uncertainty. The real question is what will the UK look like in 3-5 years time once the dust has settled?
In my opinion the break up will effect the EU more in the medium term, the direction of policy and final goal is very well sign posted and openly salivated by many EU officials which is ever greater fiscal, monetary and political union with the goal of absorbing more Eastern/central states into the project, that can only create even further transferences of resources from the wealthier members to the more impoverished ones and that in turn will continue to ratchet up the growing social unrest that has been gathering pace in Europe as well as fuelling the ever increasing resentment we currently see.
The UK I believe will be starting to see the benefits of their actions as they have allowed themselves to diversify there trading options and remember the UK runs a substantial trade deficit with Europe anyhow, the UK dodged a bullet with the Euro (a universally agreed fact) - the question is will the UKs instincts serve her well again - on balance I think so.
This whole debate is going to boil down to peoples predictions of what life will be like post either event - I think that nutter Donald Rumsfield's fanous quote encapsulates the situation for both sides currently.
there are no "knowns." There are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say there are things that we now know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we do not know we don't know