FA Cup Quarter-Final Draw | Burnley (H)

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It's not, as each draw is a separate event they have exactly an even chance of being drawn at home each time. If a roulette ball had landed on red 9 consecutive times do you think the odds of it happening on the next roll would be higher than normal?
It depends if we are discussing discrete event probability or aggregate expected value probability.

You explained the former well, but the latter is a method of determining how aberrant aggregate outcomes are, which can help to determine if processes are actually random or not. Probabilistic analysis uses expected value versus actual value to give a confidence level of bias results.

The longer they go receiving home draws the more aberrational it becomes and the further from expected values.
 
It depends if we are discussing discrete event probability or aggregate expected value probability.

You explained the former well, but the latter is a method of determining how aberrant aggregate outcomes are, which can help to determine if processes are actually random or not. Probabilistic analysis uses expected value versus actual value to give a confidence level of bias results.

The longer they go receiving home draws the more aberrational it becomes and the further from expect values.
In essence, he was talking shit
 
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