FA Cup Quarter-Final Draw | Burnley (H)

  • Thread starter Deleted member 81382
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Rawk-like conspiracy strikes again. They've just got a worse draw than us, some people are determined to turn us into scousers. How about we look forward to our club legend coming back to the etihad rather than inventing some myth about united somehow influencing the draw.
Yeah but ‘Gill’ definitely’ has his paws all over this, the KGB loving sphincter
 
It depends if we are discussing discrete event probability or aggregate expected value probability.

You explained the former well, but the latter is a method of determining how aberrant aggregate outcomes are, which can help to determine if processes are actually random or not. Probabilistic analysis uses expected value versus actual value to give a confidence level of bias results.

The longer they go receiving home draws the more aberrational it becomes and the further from expected values.
Expected values, it doesn't change the undeniable fact that each draw is an independent event and therefore they have exactly an even chance of being drawn at home on each occasion.
 
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