General Election - 4th July 2024

[bluenova]

Opinium has Labour 20 points ahead.

That’s mental, they’re probably the most favourable pollsters when it comes to the Tories.

6 point swing in a week. A week where Labour have had to deal with the Abbott situation.

Biggest lead since Truss.

Their last 6 polls were 16 - 16 - 16 - 18 - 14 - 20, so it's looking like last week was the outlier.

The good week/bad week for Starmer hasn't changed too much for Labour voters either.

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

Their last 6 polls were 16 - 16 - 16 - 18 - 14 - 20, so it's looking like last week was the outlier.

The good week/bad week for Starmer hasn't changed too much for Labour voters either.

Outside of the far left echo chamber, people aren’t really arsed about the whole Diane Abbott thing and now she’s allowed to stand the story won’t rumble on anyway.

If this is the only mis step for Labour (still a long way to go!) then we could be in for one hell of a mad election night.

 

[bluenova]

Outside of the far left echo chamber, people aren’t really arsed about the whole Diane Abbott thing and now she’s allowed to stand the story won’t rumble on anyway.

If this is the only mis step for Labour (still a long way to go!) then we could be in for one hell of a mad election night.

In the tables, they asked people which stories they noticed this week, and that didn't stand out much at all.

National Service was the only story that had really cut through.

Talking of echo chambers, I was looking at Momentum's twitter feed, as they'd done some really clever stuff in recent elections. It's something like 30 posts about Keir Starmer for every one on the Tories. During an election campaign - for a Labour affiliated organisation!

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

In the tables, they asked people which stories they noticed this week, and that didn't stand out much at all.

National Service was the only story that had really cut through.

Ha! I haven’t dug into it in that much detail yet.

 

[blue for life]

Outside of the far left echo chamber, people aren’t really arsed about the whole Diane Abbott thing and now she’s allowed to stand the story won’t rumble on anyway.

If this is the only mis step for Labour (still a long way to go!) then we could be in for one hell of a mad election night.

Get the popcorn ready!

 

[chesterbells]

Something to get all us election night fans in the mood.
The 97 one I guess would be good to watch before the one next month. 1974 (both) are a good watch too.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

All my mates are either dead, in prison, smoking crack or selling drugs,

Oi, I haven’t smoked crack for weeks!

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

Frog faced Fürher and his army of Gammon have descended on Ashfield today.

Sutton or Kirkby?

 

[TinFoilHat]

Sutton or Kirkby?

Sutton.

The campaign started outside the Rifle Volunteer pub.

 

[Nightmare Walking]

Oi, I haven’t smoked crack for weeks!

That actually gave me a belly laugh :-D