General Election - 4th July 2024

[mosssideblue]

35,000 surveyed. My word.

View attachment 124051

I’d still be gutted the Tories getting that many

 

[TinFoilHat]

Sutton Coldfield election candidate 'fearful for life' after son attacked

Wajad Burkey, Workers Party of Britain candidate for Sutton Coldfield, says he is "fearful for his life".

www.bbc.com

If this had been a reform candidate Nigel would be all over the news and they'd lap it up.

 

[SkyBlueFlux]

I’d still be gutted the Tories getting that many

It is a detailed survey but Survation are a little bit of an outlier. They seem to be weighing that fewer of the don’t knows will fall into the Tory bucket than others like YouGov. Incumbents always tend to get a few trickling back their way just before polling day.

I’ve said Tories 135 seats is my prediction a few months back and I’m sticking to that but would love to be proven wrong.

 

[blue for life]

It is a detailed survey but Survation are a little bit of an outlier. They seem to be weighing that fewer of the don’t knows will fall into the Tory bucket than others like YouGov. Incumbents always tend to get a few trickling back their way just before polling day.

I’ve said Tories 135 seats is my prediction a few months back and I’m sticking to that but would love to be proven wrong.

Not 115?

 

[SkyBlueFlux]

Not 115?

Reminds me of the old Scottish refrain from a decade back “We have more giant pandas than Tory MPs in Scotland.”

“More charges than there are Tory MPs” sounds like a chant we can get going on the terraces.

 

[East Level 2]

I've got a dilemma on Thursday. I want this bunch of incompetent, dogma-driven, venal, corrupt, self-serving grifters confined to the history books. In my constituency (Bury South) the best chance of doing that is Labour.

It's very marginal so the Labour candidate should win. However, the problem is that it's Christian Wakeford, who crossed the floor from the Tories two years ago.

He'd disagreed with the party on a key issue, and was allegedly told a school that was promised in Radcliffe (quite a deprived part of Bury South) wouldn't be funded if he voted against the party line on that issue. Yet there's more than a suspicion that he defected because he could see what was coming and wanted to be sure he retained his seat.

He's going to win but I'm struggling to convince myself to put that 'x' against his name.

@BTH - convince me that he's serious about his political beliefs. Otherwise I'll vote Green, Lib Dem or even Communist.

A friend of mine, who you know, contacted Wakeford on two occasions while he was still a Tory MP and got surprisingly honest replies. He said Wakeford sounded nothing like the rest of the Tories who popped up on TV.
This friend was a Labour Party member in the past and has voted for Wakeford by post. I'll also be voting for him.

 

[Prestwich_Blue]

I'll be voting for him - but campaigning elsewhere.

Absolutely no chance he'll lose - it was one of the most marginal seats in the country - the third smallest majority on Labour's target list of Tory seats.

Did you read the Guardian profile of him after he switched? He let Helen Pidd follow him round for the day, so you'll learn a little more about him: https://www.theguardian.com/politic...ristian-wakeford-crossing-floor-dont-throw-up

Interesting article. Thanks. He does come over as something approaching a human being. With @East Level 2 approving of him as well, I think I'll give him my vote.

 

[Chris in London]

Embarrassing, desperate cunts.

You’ve only used three words, and it’s difficult to know which one is doing the most of the heavy lifting.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

You’ve only used three words, and it’s difficult to know which one is doing the most of the heavy lifting.

Cunts.

 

[west didsblue]

Trussonomics only impacted for a short while so it’s not still having an effect on “most mortgage holders”. The rest is inflation driven which we would have worn come what may.

I think you’re understating the impact of Truss and Kwarteng’s mini budget. It caused interest rates to rise significantly higher than they would have done and although I haven’t seen clear statistics to show whether it’s many or most mortgage holders that were impacted, there’s no doubt it was a significant number.