I'm now coming to this conclusion. Wow, what a turnaround.
I'm starting to believe that Labour can actually win this election. I think it will be close either way which I don't think May thought when she called it. I think she is fucked.
I'm now coming to this conclusion. Wow, what a turnaround.
I'm now coming to this conclusion. Wow, what a turnaround.
If the bluemoon thread is correct
National Prediction: Labour majority 172
Party 2015 Votes 2015 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON 37.8% 331 31.0% 0 167 -167 164
LAB 31.2% 232 51.8% 179 0 +179 411
LIB 8.1% 8 6.3% 0 7 -7 1
UKIP 12.9% 1 3.6% 0 1 -1 0
Green 3.8% 1 0.0% 0 1 -1 0
SNP 4.9% 56 4.9% 2 2 +0 56
PlaidC 0.6% 3 0.6% 0 3 -3 0
Minor 0.8% 0 1.9% 0 0 +0 0
N.Ire 18 0 0 +0 18
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/usercode.py?CON=31&LAB=51.8&LIB=6.3&UKIP=3.6&Green=&NewLAB=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVUKIP=&TVGreen=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllChanged®orseat=(none)&boundary=2015
I'm starting to believe that Labour can actually win this election. I think it will be close either way which I don't think May thought when she called it. I think she is fucked.
As much as I'd love that mate I can't see it. I think that it WILL be a disaster for May making little or no ground - Corbyn will shore up support at Labour however. Farron will start his " An evening with...." tour.
Tbf he got in a couple of great jabs at the end.
How big could be hugely relevant. Needs to be by a decent margin. Otherwise, what's the fucking point?You have to be careful of social media bubbles though. No one I work with has even mentioned the election. We all know that middle England in the marginals hold the answer and I can't see anything but a Tory win by an increased majority. How big it is isn't that relevant.