How many points to win the league?

I did 10,000,000 permutations in 2012 and none of them had Wigan winning and Everton snatching a 4-4 draw. Does my fucking head in all talk of beating this and that record. We have won nothing yet. Not. A. Carrot. Makes me cringe reading newspaper/web/bluemoon articles about how we're the best team ever / how we'll dominate for years etc, etc. Time to show a modicum of reserve. If and when we win the league, let's roll out the platitudes. 8 points in 6 games. Could never be done? Overcome an 8 point deficit from a max of 18 points? Well, we did. so 14 points in 17 games (51 points) is something we shouldn't get too cocky about.
spot on
 
I did 10,000,000 permutations in 2012 and none of them had Wigan winning and Everton snatching a 4-4 draw. Does my fucking head in all talk of beating this and that record. We have won nothing yet. Not. A. Carrot. Makes me cringe reading newspaper/web/bluemoon articles about how we're the best team ever / how we'll dominate for years etc, etc. Time to show a modicum of reserve. If and when we win the league, let's roll out the platitudes. 8 points in 6 games. Could never be done? Overcome an 8 point deficit from a max of 18 points? Well, we did. so 14 points in 17 games (51 points) is something we shouldn't get too cocky about.

Totally agree.
 
I did 10,000,000 permutations in 2012 and none of them had Wigan winning and Everton snatching a 4-4 draw. Does my fucking head in all talk of beating this and that record. We have won nothing yet. Not. A. Carrot. Makes me cringe reading newspaper/web/bluemoon articles about how we're the best team ever / how we'll dominate for years etc, etc. Time to show a modicum of reserve. If and when we win the league, let's roll out the platitudes. 8 points in 6 games. Could never be done? Overcome an 8 point deficit from a max of 18 points? Well, we did. so 14 points in 17 games (51 points) is something we shouldn't get too cocky about.

This
 
I did 10,000,000 permutations in 2012 and none of them had Wigan winning and Everton snatching a 4-4 draw. Does my fucking head in all talk of beating this and that record. We have won nothing yet. Not. A. Carrot. Makes me cringe reading newspaper/web/bluemoon articles about how we're the best team ever / how we'll dominate for years etc, etc. Time to show a modicum of reserve. If and when we win the league, let's roll out the platitudes. 8 points in 6 games. Could never be done? Overcome an 8 point deficit from a max of 18 points? Well, we did. so 14 points in 17 games (51 points) is something we shouldn't get too cocky about.

Spot on. And I wonder what Shaun Maloney is up to these days.
 
I did 10,000,000 permutations in 2012 and none of them had Wigan winning and Everton snatching a 4-4 draw. Does my fucking head in all talk of beating this and that record. We have won nothing yet. Not. A. Carrot. Makes me cringe reading newspaper/web/bluemoon articles about how we're the best team ever / how we'll dominate for years etc, etc. Time to show a modicum of reserve. If and when we win the league, let's roll out the platitudes. 8 points in 6 games. Could never be done? Overcome an 8 point deficit from a max of 18 points? Well, we did. so 14 points in 17 games (51 points) is something we shouldn't get too cocky about.
Sometimes you just have to sit back and enjoy the ride and not worry. They're winning the league.
 
I bet my reputation 9w/3d/6l would still result in us winning the title.

And to get that level the following has to happen to one of the following:

Chelsea drop 7 points or less in their remaining 17 games having dropped 18 points to date. ( 14-1-2 )

Manure drop 6 points or less having dropped 19 points to date. ( 14-2-1 )

Liverpool drop 4 points or less having dropped 22 to date. ( 15-1-1 )

Spurs drop 3 points or less from their remaining 18 games having dropped 23 points to date ( 17-0-1 )

Arsenal drop 3 points or less from their remaining 18 games having dropped 23 points to date ( 17-0-1 ).

Remembering that all of them still have to play each other bar Liverpool v Arsenal and all of them have to play us the odds on even one of the above occurring are slim.

Most bookies would be happy to give you odds of 500-1 on one of the above happening.

Can anybody seriously expect one of the above happening this season.

Maybe Chelsea who are capable of a run in like that but given the run they have been on already they are bound to drop points at home and away from here on in.

I can see them dropping 12-15 points in their remaining 17 games finishing with 81-84 points but it could be worse.

If you were a betting man you would back it in that 84 points is enough to finish first this season but certainly 88 points will be more than enough.
 
89 points to the best of my recollection has only failed to win the Premiership once and that was the year we won the title on goal difference.

After 21 games that season Manure had 48 points.

You won't need 89 points to win the title this season.
 
Have to remain head strong now. I have a funny feeling about Chelsea. The attention is on us as they go about their job quietly. They’ll be ready to pounce on any slips.


As you say mate, Ancoats post is good one (as they normally are). He’s mentioned in the past that his dyslexia can make including grammar a bit of a nightmare.

The Chavs are too far behind that after a great run. They also have big cup commitments two games against Arsenal in January and a big clash with Barca to follow. We would have to fuck up big time to get reeled in. Win today and we should comfortably take 9 out of 12 in January. If we beat the dippers in Candlepool then it is more or less over. But one game at a time!!
 

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