Around 1/2 in 10.The quad is extremely unlikely - probably we'll win one of the FA Cup/PL Title/CL Title. Winning two of these is a bit unlikely - winning all three is I think on the order of 1 in 10 or worse.
We're in the FA Cup final.The quad is extremely unlikely - probably we'll win one of the FA Cup/PL Title/CL Title. Winning two of these is a bit unlikely - winning all three is I think on the order of 1 in 10 or worse.
Around 1/2 in 10.
Premier League 60% (sneaking upwards as each game goes by).
FA Cup 70%
CL. Break it down into Q/F, SF and Final: 50%, 50%, 40% (cos I think Barcelona will be in the final).
Treble = Call it 4 in 10 because it's all 'rough'
Quadruple = 4 in a 100, or 1/2 in 10
Marvin prefers to work on his pessimism and ignore the actuaries.The market (Betfair exchange) currently indicates our chances are
PL - 54.3%
CL - 22.7%
FA Cup - 84.7%
This means the quadruple chance is 10.4%
Actuaries work on the probability of death. I work on the probabilities of exoplanet host stars possessing certain parameters, and the impact that has on the evolutionary fate of their planets. I wouldn't trade places with anyone thanks, except maybe an astronaut, or a footballer.Marvin prefers to work on his pessimism and ignore the actuaries.
Actuaries work on probabilities. They're the reason you don't see poor bookies or insurance magnates.Actuaries work on the probability of death. I work on the probabilities of exoplanet host stars possessing certain parameters, and the impact that has on the evolutionary fate of their planets. I wouldn't trade places with anyone thanks, except maybe an astronaut, or a footballer.
I’d happily go out to Spurs on Wednesday if you could guarantee me that we’d win the Prem and FA CupThe Champions League is the bridge too far I believe, but how good would sweeping up all domestic trophies this season be?
We cant, so buckle up cos we are all going in....dry!!!I’d happily go out to Spurs on Wednesday if you could guarantee me that we’d win the Prem and FA Cup