Without reading through the previous 40 odd pages to see if this point has been made I'm going to throw my hat in the ring on this because (and I know this is a controversial point on bluemoon) but the reason we've won the league the last 2 times has been because out main rivals have bottled it. Arsenal haven't been in this position for a while and I think that come April they'll drop some silly points. And then they come to the Etihad penultimate game of the season.
By that logic, anyone who wins the title with less than 114 points has done so cos the rivals bottled it.