Blue Heaven
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 20 Sep 2012
- Messages
- 798
OB1 said:Shaelumstash said:Well you were bringing the statistics of pass completion in to the debate about us missing De Jong, if the only debate was who had a better percentage out of him and Garcia then it would be essential and relevant.
However, as I understood it the debate is more about whether De Jong was better than Garcia all round, and my point is the stats won't tell you the whole story.
As I say, I rate De Jong and like him, I've not seen enough of Garcia yet to make an informed opinion, although I'm sure you can enlighten me with his statistics to back up whatever your opinion is of him!
I'm delighted for De Jong that he played an important part in our success, he really deserved it with the amount of good work he did for us. But "bursting forward" was hardly a strength of his, and remember QPR were playing a flat back 9 at the time so there wasn't many players for him to "burst" past!
Yes I mentioned pass completion because Simon23 said Garcia's distribution was better than De Jong's and given that Garcia's average is about ten percentage points worse than De Jong's, I think it begs some questions as to the validity of the statement. It does not mean that pass completion is the only aspect of distribution that counts but it is an important aspect of distribution. I could have added that Garcia has only made one key pass in two games; whereas De Jong made one key pass in one appearance this season, which is another fact that does not support the contention that Garcia's distribution is better but I didn't want to write an essay on the subject.
I also noted that Garcia has been averaging more tackles per game, so far, than De Jong does; which was in response to De Jong being better defensively. Again, this was not meant to paint the whole picture but to point to a fact that did not support the opinion offered.
I didn't actually offer an opinion on who was the better player in either specific area or in terms of their all round game because I've only seen Garcia play three games.
Sadly, my comment didn't get a response from the poster it was aimed at but instead got you explaining why stats are more important in NFL and baseball and how they are less important to a fluid game like football. Heaven knows what baseball has got to do with Javi Garcia; although his name wouldn't be out of place in the NY Yankees' bullpen. Of course what you failed to mention was that the nature of those sports made it much easier to record stats manually and that it is only through advances in technology that football has truly been able to match the level of statistical analysis in those sports, which means there could in fact be a lot more value to be found from what is a much newer science (or art) but that's a whole other thread.
Interesting discussion - statistics may be more important in baseball than in football, either proper or American, for a simple reason, namely that in baseball, there are "stoppages" in play between each and every pitch. In addition, much of what happens in baseball is a consequence of the pitch thrown and the response of the batter. Maybe this is why strike/ball (or strikes/total pitches) ratio, OBP (on-base percentage, not Kenobi-wan stat), slugging percentage and OPS are such dominant stats in baseball.
In American football, there are also stoppages between plays, but other than the quarterback stats (each play initiated by the center/QB exchange), the other stats are partially influenced by the play of units of players (such as linemen, linebackers, defensive backs, etc.). It is more difficult to gauge the importance of a critical stat like "tackles made" if one stops to consider that some defensive formations "funnel" the ball carrier to a particular player(s). Also, for instance, there is a huge difference in responsibilities between playing middle linebacker in a 3-4 defense than a 4-3 defense...!!
In football, tackle and pass percentages are important, but also do not take into account the quality of the pass, nor the effect of the unit's or team's play as a whole on each individual statistic.
Statistics are important in football, but an over-reliance on them in analyzing matches is not always a productive exercise, unless, of course, one sits in a corporate office all day crunching numbers for that next SEC filing... ;-)