Mancini/Pellegrini rumours (10/05/13) (cont)

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Re: Manchester City close on Pellegrini (merged)

rastus said:
fbloke said:
rastus said:
As you say, If you put £300 on at 1/3 you win a £100 not bad, but you are encouraged to put on a bigger stake for a reasonable return, giving that the odds are almost a sure thing.
Id rather put £5 on Mourinho at 16/1, bit like the grand national haha
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There is also the issue that the market for any event is decided on by the bookies for their own reasons.

I wont bore you with the overround but you can have a read of this if you so desire -

<a class="postlink" href="http://betting.football-data.co.uk/overround.php" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://betting.football-data.co.uk/overround.php</a>

And calculate on any event here

<a class="postlink" href="http://www.sportsbettingindex.com/odds-calculator.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.sportsbettingindex.com/odds-calculator.html</a>

You can then see what 'profit' margin a bookie is running at on a market.

But be wary of shifts in odds as it can be very fake.

If, for example a punter has a 10 horse accumulator win 9 having won and the final race still to be decided a bookie is well within his rights to play dirty.

A punter who has placed those 10 horses in the AM may have expected odds of 3/1 for the first 9 and lumped on a 20/1 in race 10 for the hell of it.

But when the outsider in race ten goes off its price is a EVS even though it stands no chance of winning because a bookie has limited his exposure by placing bets on the 20/1 shot himself.

It can sometimes take very little money to bring a price down too, perhaps just a few hundred quid.
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Thanks very interesting reading, but I will have to read 2 or 3 times for it to sink in.
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Its easy to get lost in that post of mine TBH.

In short bookies set the prices and for their own reasons so beware backing favourites ;-)
 
Re: Manchester City close on Pellegrini (merged)

Sky Blue said:
SuperSilva said:
Sky Blue said:
Well done on what....?

Those odds mean fuck all. Couple years back it was similar for Rafa to go back to Liverpool.
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well done for putting a bet! Not for winning it...

When Manu is installed as Manager then I will say to Worsley ... "well done on your winnings mate".

stop presuming you clown, all this mancini and pelligrini talk has got you all crazy! :)
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You're the one who is presuming. Fucking hell, thick as fuck!

As for calling him, Manu, oh dear!
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Clown !! ycnmiu. ;)
 
Re: Manchester City close on Pellegrini (merged)

Skashion said:
Well, my money's going on Chelsea winning the title next year.
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Not IF we get Pellegrini they wont.............
 
Re: Manchester City close on Pellegrini (merged)

samharris said:
Sky Blue said:
SuperSilva said:
well done for putting a bet! Not for winning it...

When Manu is installed as Manager then I will say to Worsley ... "well done on your winnings mate".

stop presuming you clown, all this mancini and pelligrini talk has got you all crazy! :)
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You're the one who is presuming. Fucking hell, thick as fuck!

As for calling him, Manu, oh dear!
Click to expand...

Clown !! ycnmiu. ;)
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:D
 
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