it's not 'incorrect' lucas.....one more time.
if we beat spurs, get a draw and a win in the other two, without this point it would have been been curtains. now it'd come down to goal difference. if goal difference is tied then it comes down to goals scored, and we are 6 ahead on that.
our goal difference is one better than spurs.
if we beat them by one goal the gap suddenly becomes three. by two and it becomes five.
and we'd get at least one more on our goal difference tally from whichever game we won.
plus just matching our goal difference won't be good enough as it comes down to goals scored, and we're six ahead on that.
so if we draw against villa, beat spurs and west ham by just one goal, spurs'd have to win their games by five clear goals. (1 to match lead we already have, 1 to overcome it, 1 for the margin of our victory against west ham, 1 for the goal we scored against them, 1 for them conceding that goal). it's perfectly possible, but most games are won by the odd goal.
beat spurs by one and west ham or villa by two and spurs need a margin of six goals from their wins.
if we beat spurs by two goals, it becomes silly money, they'd have to make up seven goals even if we only beat wh/villa by one.
and if spurs draw one of their other two matches, we win both of ours, then a draw against spurs is now 100% good enough. last night it would have come down to goal difference, and because we wouldn't get the double-your-money effect by beating them, it would have probably just about have favoured them.