I mean the words from Stoltenberg that Ukraine hasn’t had the artillery it needed and is unlikely to get it, Petraeus saying you can’t beat the sort of defences the Russians have built without air superiority (and luck, and artillery) and the White House saying the boxed off funds that MAGAts can’t interfere with have almost run dry feel like a pretty transparent soft announcement of what has seemed likely for a long time now.
Namely, the US can’t/won’t fund another offensive next spring and with the US out, France and Germany will disappear into the shadows and Ukraine will be forced to the negotiating table sooner rather than later, Crimea ‘officially’ lost, Ukraine brought into NATO and the EU and Moldova invaded in pretty short order.