Russian invasion of Ukraine

SPIDERBOY said:
Russian losses for January....
Troops - 26000.
Tanks - 333.
AFVs - 677.
MLRS - 29.
Air Defence - 40.
Artillery - 682.
Other Vehicles - 939.
Special Equipment - 178.
Biggest losses occured on 23rd,24th and 25th where they lost 668 pieces of equipment,and just short of 3000 Troops.

Heroyam Slava.
Click to expand...
Wow

How many troops have they lost in total? Quietly racking up to be a very costly war.
 
cleavers said:
Once again we'll never know the truth, I can't see Ukraine wasting 20 missiles on a single target though.
Click to expand...

One thing to consider is decoy's. I cant recall there names but it was on here around the same time as Storm Shadows were given. that there are decoy missiles that have no payloads and have a higher radar impression, literally just there to exhaust / confuse air defence.

so its entirely possible there were 15 of those and 5 real ones. But I agree there's no way Ukraine would fire 20 real missiles at 1 target unless that target was huge and very high value.
 
From "The Analyst":

UKRAINE’S CRIMEA STRATEGY REVEALED

During early January, following on from last years success in taking out Russia’s much vaunted Niobium mobile radar complex near the northwestern coast, Ukraine began multi-stage plan to render Crimean air defences inoperable.
Using combinations of air and naval drones they pushed what remained of the naval forces out of Sevastopol.
They also began hunting down open air space and, using drones, found pathways to the remaining radar at Yevapatatoria. This site also contained a primary command centre and communications hub, and it’s largely regarded that the Russians just didn’t think it was targetable.
Ukraine disabused them of that theory in mid January and destroyed it.
With the only other Niobium system radar gone - these have very long range (550km high 150km low) dual band phased array capabilities, that can see high and relatively low targets in 3D - allegedly even capable of spotting an F-35 at a reasonable range, Russia was faced with a real problem.
Ukrainian missiles and drones started to make their way across the Crimean peninsula from Kherson and Odesa, all the way into Russia itself. Striking at Tuapse and Rostov along with several other key sites in southern Russia.
The shooting down of the A50 was part of this campaign. The Russians brought the aircraft into the field to plug the gap left by the loss of the two very expensive Niobium radars. Realising that with it flying it would likely reduce their opportunity to reach into southern Russia, the Ukrainians managed a remarkable and highly secret operation to get a Patriot battery far enough to the front line to engage it and also took the opportunity to strike the accompanying Il-22 SIGINT aircraft in the area. The success of that strike caused the Russians to lose one of only ten A50’s - but also one of only four that had been modernised for 21st century operations. The others are severely dated if even operational.
A second aircraft has since been deployed but it has to operate so far back from its ideal point of operations it’s become almost useless.
Just to emphasise how little effect it has had and how weak Crimean air defences are, yesterday Ukraine launched a multi-drone and missile strike on the airbase just north of Sevastopol, destroying the underground command facility and severely damaging the runway and support equipment.
These operations began before December with the destruction of the first Niobium complex - it was that lack of early warning radar that caused the injudicious use of the Su-34’s and the loss of 3 in a day and 5 that week overall. They just don’t have the capability to see threats the ground radars could pick up. Without the ground radars, the S-400 systems are limited in their capabilities to coordinate or even detect lower flying drones and missiles. Niobium systems were designed to work with 300 simultaneous targets and coordinate a response. Without them Crimean air defences are royally screwed. They are not easy to replace - three year build times are not unusual and they require very high tech processors, currently sanctioned.
So now the full picture has been revealed, we can see that Crimea is basically defenceless from the air right now. Russia is only doing what it can to protect the Kerch bridge. Meanwhile its logistics and infrastructure are under continuous pressure from drone strikes and missiles.
Another interesting phenomena came to light yesterday. The increasing number of Shaheed drones just landing without exploding. Video of multiple drones from across Ukraine just flat on the ground, almost undamaged (though they lose their engines on impact). This is apparently caused by an increasing number of updatable EW ‘systems in a box’ that can stop them functioning and lands them, more and more of which are being deployed around Ukraine.
So while not everything is brilliant on the front lines right now, Russian pain is high when it comes to Crimea and beyond. They certainly aren’t winning this battle and they aren’t getting their own way by any means.
 
grunge said:
One thing to consider is decoy's. I cant recall there names but it was on here around the same time as Storm Shadows were given. that there are decoy missiles that have no payloads and have a higher radar impression, literally just there to exhaust / confuse air defence.

so its entirely possible there were 15 of those and 5 real ones. But I agree there's no way Ukraine would fire 20 real missiles at 1 target unless that target was huge and very high value.
Click to expand...
Decoy's....ADM-160.
Normally sent just before an Aircraft or missile.
Confuses Air Defence radars,leaving a clear path for strikes.
Storm Shadow can be programmed to follow their path....or "Shadow" their path.

Slava Ukraini.
 
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