Russian invasion of Ukraine

As a keen follower of your posts I’m hoping that this is good news for the Ukrainians ? Potentially seeing a slow down in constant barraging ?
Yeah mate,barrels need to be changed.
Not sure how often,pretty sure someone on here will know.
F-16s will fuck them up also.....should be up and about in 10 days ish.

Slava Ukraini.
 
From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX

VOVCHANSK: RUSSIANS SURROUNDED

Having successfully pushed their way over the river and south into Vovchansk town to link up with the Russians held in near isolation in the aggregate plant, the Russians suddenly faced an unexpected Ukrainian counter offensive.
The Ukrainians cut deep into Russian lines from east and west north of the river at astonishing pace, leaving the Russians with little more than a single street connecting a much larger force south of the river with their main force in the north.
So precarious is the Russian position that it looks certain to end up with the Russian force south of the river completely surrounded by the end of today.
If that happens then the Russian force south of the river is trapped - and the forces north of the river will be seriously weakened and in a near untenable position inside the town.
How the Russians allowed themselves to get into this position is frankly unbelievable. The risk that this would happen and that the Ukrainians were letting them do it so easily should have been obvious enough, but no doubt the Russians thought they’d pulled off a tactical victory despite the clear signal Ukrainian forces weren’t going quietly.
The Russians realised it seems, all too late and called in glide bomb strikes to try and break up the Ukrainian force build up.
Even the last corridor of a street the Russians still control they could attempt to escape from, is covered by Ukrainian machine gun posts and using glide bombs here would only kill Russians as well. They would have to fight their way out - a near impossible task.
The Russians are known to be preparing forces to reinforce their units in the city, and have placed a cone of silence over the border villages so that their whereabouts and numbers are kept as secret as possible.
To put the whole thing in a time line, first the Russians reached and took the aggregate plant, then they were cut off. An initial attempt to reach it failed. A second attack reached it but seems to have been allowed to by the Ukrainians, who have now cut off a much larger force that hangs by a thread. It would take another major force to push its way in to try and reach the even larger surrounded group of forces.
The main problem for any force in the north of Vovchansk is there is almost nowhere to hide and it has little tactical value. The constant artillery and glide bomb attacks have levelled the city and left nothing but dust and rubble.
If Ukraine can eradicate or contain the entrapped Russians until they surrender or die, then any renewed efforts by the Russians to push into the city will likely prove fruitless. The tide of this operation for Russia seems to have turned against them. But they will not learn and they won’t give up, because the political decision is the city must be taken. Such rigidity is the death of armies.

Slava Ukraine !
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
 

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