Russian invasion of Ukraine
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gordondaviesmoustache
Well-Known Member
I fear you are correct but indifference doesn’t change the reality, which is that the game has changed in a pan-European sense, and we cannot rely on the US anymore - and cunts shrugging their shoulders doesn’t make that go away.
Scottyboi
Well-Known Member
Big strike in Luhansk at a machine building plant, also air defence active near Kerch atm too.
Just imagine a full week or month of those losses..
Scottyboi
Well-Known Member
From "The Analyst":
RUSSIANS LAUNCH MAJOR NEW OFFENSIVE
Target: Sversk at centre of a wide front they can try to reach from the front in the centre and outflank from further north and south. Capturing this town would allow them to head directly for Kramatorsk - the largest Ukrainian held city in the Donbas and its regional capital.
Having pushed the Ukrainian forces back out of Bilohorivka last year, it cleared the way for the northern outflanking attack.
They have spent some time training troops and preparing units for this offensive - which tends to indicate that they feel this could be the point of a decisive breakthrough that collapses Ukrainian defences. An unusual amount of advanced preparation has been observed.
They know the Ukrainian forces will fight but they also know they are severely stretched. The failure to impose strict mobilisation requirements, or even get the ball rolling to find the manpower is stuck - Zelensky still hasn’t signed the new law. Mobilisation isn’t popular but needs must. This dithering could cost the war. Add to that the lack of air defences and artillery, Russia smells advantage and is about to use it.
Fighting in the south started from Rosdolivka, with the Russians pushing west-north-west. From Bilhorivka they seem to be pushing due west and southwest and west from the centre.
They appear to be trying to capture the hills from Rosdolivka, this would give them domination over the main supply road for Ukraine into Sversk.
However getting into these hills and past Ukrainian forward defenders isn’t easy as small rivers and defended villages with a lot of damp ground make it difficult. And the Ukrainians won’t give up the hills easily.
There is also little room to manoeuvre. The terrain dictates how you can move and that puts Russian forces in places they have to use and the Ukrainian forces can trap them. The hills are 200m above the river and look down on almost all the areas Russia has to advance from. They then have to cross the river under fire and then fight up hill. It won’t be easy, but I suspect this will be about pinning Ukrainian forces down while the main effort comes from one of the other two directions.
The central attack is heading to Vyimka where the railroad runs through. This is in flat low land and far easier as targets go.
If they can break through here, then reaching Sversk is much easier. It has little in the way of geographical advantages and is far easier to reach from this direction. However of the Russians reach and take eastern Sversk, it’s cut in half by a river and the western half would be hard to reach and the hills west of the city allow artillery to control the eastern half of the town.
The Bilhorivka attacks have in their sites the so called ‘White Mountain’ which is another industrial age waste heap of monstrous proportions left by the soviets. However its cost them dearly so far and they still haven’t taken it after months of trying.
Rather than keep trying the impossible, they have changed tactics and attack the area south of it in the forest to attempt to cut it off and force a retreat by the Ukrainians.
This would collapse the Ukrainian positions at Bilhorivka and open up the northern route to Sversk - along the supply road from the west that travels through Sversk past the White Mountain.
Yet there is a darker element to the Russian strategy - this is almost certainly the distraction and fixing offensive to cover what is happening at Chasiv Yar - a more rigorous attempt at taking that seems imminent.
It’s vital the Ukrainian forces don’t get distracted but they have few reserves and lack the firepower they had last year.
On balance the Russians have the supply and numerical advantage and they know it. They also know that if they don’t make serious headway this summer to take control of what’s left of Donbas and Luhansk, it may never happen. If US aid arrives later and
European ammo deliveries reach the levels predicted, things will become more complicated. As will the air war the Russians have come to rely on for dropping glide bombs.And we have to remember that Russia is losing artillery at a high rate and has been for two years. It has the ammo, but fewer and fewer guns.
Tough days ahead.
Slava Ukraini !
RUSSIANS LAUNCH MAJOR NEW OFFENSIVE
Target: Sversk at centre of a wide front they can try to reach from the front in the centre and outflank from further north and south. Capturing this town would allow them to head directly for Kramatorsk - the largest Ukrainian held city in the Donbas and its regional capital.
Having pushed the Ukrainian forces back out of Bilohorivka last year, it cleared the way for the northern outflanking attack.
They have spent some time training troops and preparing units for this offensive - which tends to indicate that they feel this could be the point of a decisive breakthrough that collapses Ukrainian defences. An unusual amount of advanced preparation has been observed.
They know the Ukrainian forces will fight but they also know they are severely stretched. The failure to impose strict mobilisation requirements, or even get the ball rolling to find the manpower is stuck - Zelensky still hasn’t signed the new law. Mobilisation isn’t popular but needs must. This dithering could cost the war. Add to that the lack of air defences and artillery, Russia smells advantage and is about to use it.
Fighting in the south started from Rosdolivka, with the Russians pushing west-north-west. From Bilhorivka they seem to be pushing due west and southwest and west from the centre.
They appear to be trying to capture the hills from Rosdolivka, this would give them domination over the main supply road for Ukraine into Sversk.
However getting into these hills and past Ukrainian forward defenders isn’t easy as small rivers and defended villages with a lot of damp ground make it difficult. And the Ukrainians won’t give up the hills easily.
There is also little room to manoeuvre. The terrain dictates how you can move and that puts Russian forces in places they have to use and the Ukrainian forces can trap them. The hills are 200m above the river and look down on almost all the areas Russia has to advance from. They then have to cross the river under fire and then fight up hill. It won’t be easy, but I suspect this will be about pinning Ukrainian forces down while the main effort comes from one of the other two directions.
The central attack is heading to Vyimka where the railroad runs through. This is in flat low land and far easier as targets go.
If they can break through here, then reaching Sversk is much easier. It has little in the way of geographical advantages and is far easier to reach from this direction. However of the Russians reach and take eastern Sversk, it’s cut in half by a river and the western half would be hard to reach and the hills west of the city allow artillery to control the eastern half of the town.
The Bilhorivka attacks have in their sites the so called ‘White Mountain’ which is another industrial age waste heap of monstrous proportions left by the soviets. However its cost them dearly so far and they still haven’t taken it after months of trying.
Rather than keep trying the impossible, they have changed tactics and attack the area south of it in the forest to attempt to cut it off and force a retreat by the Ukrainians.
This would collapse the Ukrainian positions at Bilhorivka and open up the northern route to Sversk - along the supply road from the west that travels through Sversk past the White Mountain.
Yet there is a darker element to the Russian strategy - this is almost certainly the distraction and fixing offensive to cover what is happening at Chasiv Yar - a more rigorous attempt at taking that seems imminent.
It’s vital the Ukrainian forces don’t get distracted but they have few reserves and lack the firepower they had last year.
On balance the Russians have the supply and numerical advantage and they know it. They also know that if they don’t make serious headway this summer to take control of what’s left of Donbas and Luhansk, it may never happen. If US aid arrives later and
European ammo deliveries reach the levels predicted, things will become more complicated. As will the air war the Russians have come to rely on for dropping glide bombs.And we have to remember that Russia is losing artillery at a high rate and has been for two years. It has the ammo, but fewer and fewer guns.
Tough days ahead.
Slava Ukraini !
BlueAnorak
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Ukraine Invasion Day 780: drone & missile strikes continue
Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of April 11 to 12 and during the day on April 12. Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged that Russia’s ongoing strike campaign against Ukrainian energy...
www.dailykos.com
BlueAnorak
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- 26,226
Baggins.mcfc
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If you know this, then obviously Ukraine know. How long before it rubble would you guess.