projectriver said:
alera said:
It sounds alot because it is. But if you look at other clubs looking for investment in comparison its quite interesting. Lets look at Liverpool from an investment point of view. The yanks want £650 million to buy the club. Going on £400 million of debt.
£350 - £400 million MINIMUM to build the new stadium in stanley park - which they needed badly 3 years ago.
Thats 1.5 billion before you spend a penny on players and its clear they are going to need a major squad rebuild if they want to challenge for the title and to get back into the champions league again. You could spend £2 billion on Liverpool to get them where Utd and Arsenal are now in terms of infreastructure and you could argue squad and youth setup.
Even then you would still have a stadium hemmed in on every side - no scope for extra development and revenue potential Vs hundred of acres for pennies or free from th council within 10 minutes of the country second city + a mandate to do whatever our owners want. Vs Militant bordering communist Liverpool city council worst run in the country that are obstructive to virtually everything proposed in that city.
Plus Liverpool has exceptionaly poor demograhics as a city as a whole when you consider Liverpool vs Manchester. Liverpools population has been in decline for 40 years 600,000 people in a city built for over a million. Vs Manchester which has one of the fastest growing populations conurbation wise outside the south east.
Liverpool is also one of the poorest regions in the country per capita, yet they are deprived parts of Manchester some of the poorest in the country but large areas of Greater Manchester the south in particular and close surrounding areas are very affluent in comparison to Merseyside.
Our owners are not idiots, after the rags, Arsenal, Chelsea (due to land values) city were by far the best investment opportunity LONG TERM still available. Which is why we got this takeover and Liverpool didnt.
Although I agree with what you say about Liverpool as a place/council, your numbers are nonsense.
Liverpool will never be sold right now for £650m - more like £250m on a debt/cash free basis. The £650m "pie in the sky" valuation, often quoted is the number inc. debt. The new stadium could be built for half the £400m you are suggesting.
Whichever way you look at the deal with Sheik Mansour it was not about long term "investment" potential or financial return. With the spending already made it would take 20 years of sustained success at the highest levels to be able to get to zero. The club will generate revenues of around £90m this year (at best) and has a wage bill alone of over £130m. Add on the cost of goods sold, running costs and all the other costs and you have a business that this year will lose £80-100m. IF we win something and qualify for the Champions League we could reduce these losses next season by £30-40m. It will take billions of "investment" followed by writing off/conversion to equity of all that money before the club can generate profits on a standalone, if ever.
The story is not made up bull. Its pretty accurate relative to most of the crap the Times has been writing recently. But who cares, its not our money. As a standalone business the club has been effectively broke and reliant on 3rd party funding for a long, long time. Fortunately we have the best third party funder anyone could want.
Very well put..... and I have to say it is all well and good having that 3rd party funder, but if you want to play in Europe's top competitions the club being run as it is will be barred from competing from 2012 onwards unless they can show they generate the revenue to cover the costs.... it is no good anymore relying on a 3rd party funder....
You may well point to the Barcas and Madrids of this world, but remember these are European super powers that will ensure they show the figures stack up when it comes to it, far tougher for a team that has been in Europe twice in 20 years, not won anything for 34 years (that Tueart overhead kick is still one of the greatest Wembley goals) and turns over less than a third of these Spanish giants.....UEFA are not stupid.... they know that your revenue streams are not going to double or more in this economic climate without some help from the owner so I would guess they will be monitoring City very closely....
UEFA have already barred Real Mallorca from Europe this season for being in administration at the end of last season (although now under new ownership)..... they won't think twice about "bullying" an unfashionable side....
I am sure the City owners understand this, but the wages are really ridiculous....We have King, Modric, Bale and Keane earning a week what Ya Ya Toure earns on his own!! And we have a turnover in excess of £150m a year (around £60m more than City) and a wage bill of 45% of that turnover..... which proves getting into the top four and running a club within it's means is achievable.....
In terms of perfect investment, we are by far the best in the PL......
No debt, London based (all be it a shit hole of an area), a very young up coming squad, new training centre being built and a new stadium coming soon, there will be little or no borrowing on either of these projects......
In terms of investment we are perfect for it...... new 57,500 stadium by 2013..... no debt and a club although not hugely successful in trophy terms in the last 20 years, have been in Europe five of the last 6 seasons.........