Wilder has asked for $20m and Fury said he wont pay that, so it looks like the 3rd Wilder fight is on. I doubt Fury will pay him even if he halves his asking price is the problem. Fury's side haven't attempted to make a step a-side offer as far as anyone knows. I'm not even sure I believe anything team Fury are saying anymore.
Now I'm hearing that Arum said he wont pay anything, while Warren was saying they are hoping a step-aside deal could be made(inconsistency). Worst still, Arum has already booked a venue for July, a suspiciously fast turn around(days) for something that normally takes weeks to secure. Lets not forget he was telling everyone that the arbitration was done with, contract had expired, no chance Wilder gets his own way etc. So that makes the "contingency" excuse doubtful too.
On top of that, someone from ESPN let slip that Fury was fighting on PPV in July. He said it 2 days before the arbitration decision was given, while at that time the Saudi fight with AJ was well publicised to be in August. It's looking like Fury's side knew all along and they've strung not just Hearn and AJ's side along but the whole of boxing too.
I saw a related video where someone made a good argument, that if the contract had expired and they didn't ever plan on making that fight as Bob was telling everyone, the correct course of action would be straight to court. Not mediation which is getting both sides to agree on something out of court. I doubt even more that they would sign a contract, that stated if they can't come to an agreement in mediation, then it must go to a legally binding arbitration decision. Leaving the decision up to one person, rather than a real court. The fact that they even entered mediation, means they were willing to listen to what Wilder wanted from the start and yet they are not willing to offer any step-aside deal? How does that make sense, do they want us to believe they entered mediation because they expected Wilder to agree to walk away empty handed? By the same measure, if Wilder really knew he had a case and was hearing from Fury's side that they would not agree to pay up or fight, then he'd have gone to court straight away too. Why waste time on mediation? Fury's side could still challenge this in court if they really don't want to fight or pay anything, I suppose if that's the plan then mediation makes sense. At worst the court agrees with the decision and he'll probably have a choice to fight or pay a step-aside amount(which could be less than Wilder wants). Team Fury have given no indication of that though which says it all. Both sides were in on this IMO.
In hindsight it's also looking suspiciously like Fury's side were desperate for the Saudi offer not to come through. That's why they kept starting fires for Hearn to put out, while he was still negotiating with the Saudis, which most people found weird. I suspect this was all so that they could claim AJ never wanted the fight and then make out Wilder was the only one who wanted it. So Arum could then could put on the 3rd Wilder fight that the majority of boxing fans didn't think was necessary and blame AJ and Hearn for it. Who knows how the Saudis will take this going forward, they could have burned they bridges for any future fight. Is it some diva move because Hearn has a working relationship with them and they wont deal with Arum or Warren or do they just really not want the AJ fight?
All I'm hoping, is that the reason Fury himself didn't opt to go to court to get rid of Wilder, is that it will have meant an 18month break since Fury was last in the ring. Which most of us would have understood, if he was honest about it because he would normally have a tune up after a break that long. Wilder will be in the same boat as Fury and he's already beaten him twice in his mind, so that's a different story. It's the bullshit and leading people on that people will rightly call him out for.