The Conservative Party

[Gelsons Dad]

If she wins the vote of confidence the Government will face a vote in parliament and lose. The tories know this. If she loses the new party leader pulls the WA and parliament have no reason to call for a no confidence vote.

She will lose today so the conservative government survives.

 

[blueinsa]

If she wins the vote of confidence the Government will face a vote in parliament and lose. The tories know this. If she loses the new party leader pulls the WA and parliament have no reason to call for a no confidence vote.

She will lose today so the conservative government survives.

I agree.

 

[robbieh]

If she wins the vote of confidence the Government will face a vote in parliament and lose. The tories know this. If she loses the new party leader pulls the WA and parliament have no reason to call for a no confidence vote.

She will lose today so the conservative government survives.

Interesting but I think you underestimate the Tories wanting to remain in power. Even if JRM et al feel humiliated tonight they will not support a Corbyn led vote of no confidence in the government.

 

[aguero93:20]

If she wins the vote of confidence the Government will face a vote in parliament and lose. The tories know this. If she loses the new party leader pulls the WA and parliament have no reason to call for a no confidence vote.

She will lose today so the conservative government survives.

You're presuming the ERG and DUP fancy defending their seats in a GE.

 

[Fame Monster]

Interesting but I think you underestimate the Tories wanting to remain in power. Even if JRM et al feel humiliated tonight they will not support a Corbyn led vote of no confidence in the government.

Exactly

 

[Gelsons Dad]

Interesting but I think you underestimate the Tories wanting to remain in power. Even if JRM et al feel humiliated tonight they will not support a Corbyn led vote of no confidence in the government.

They don’t need to. The DUP hold the power

 

[robbieh]

They don’t need to. The DUP hold the power

They already said that while they'd vote against the deal they won't vote against the government.

 

[lancs blue]

If the no confidence fails, does the party split?

Have we got to that stage?

The Tories have been tying themselves in knots bickering about Europe for the best part of 50 years without visibly splitting, I don't expect it will happen for a while yet.

 

[Gelsons Dad]

They already said that while they'd vote against the deal they won't vote against the government.

They don’t need to. They can abstain

 

[Magicpole]

They don’t need to. The DUP hold the power

I have a feeling this could be how the DUP will respond. In fact it’s all they know.

 

[aguero93:20]

They don’t need to. They can abstain

That would leave the Tories with 315/632 seats, the 9 independents haven't declared afaik.

 

[The perfect fumble]

The nasty party....

 

[blueinsa]

The nasty party....

Shocking if true and they should be ashamed.

 

[aguero93:20]

Shocking if true and they should be ashamed.

Disgusting yes. Shocking no.

 

[remember arthur mann]

The nasty party....

 

[ganganvince]

The nasty party....

So guilty by accusation is that really justice ?

 

[aguero93:20]

So guilty by accusation is that really justice ?

I think the point is that he was suspended pending investigation, until May needed his vote.

 

[The perfect fumble]

Shocking if true and they should be ashamed.

It's true and so has....

 

[ganganvince]

I think the point is that he was suspended pending investigation, until May needed his vote.

Only his vote isn't needed more than enough have already declared their intention maybe it's not a conspiracy after all.

 

[aguero93:20]

Only his vote isn't needed more than enough have already declared their intention maybe it's not a conspiracy after all.

I'd be very suspicious of the timing, especially with 2 separate suspensions lifted on Pro-May Tories just as she faces a confidence vote.