metalblue said:
To resurrect this thread, the IMF today tells Europe to copy Osborne's austerity drive. Downgrading forecasts for Germany and France they said the UK was on course to race ahead of other advanced economies although risks remained.
Hiya mate,
in your opinion how much of this is really down to austerity and how much is the creeping confidence in the markets in general?
A pretty benign rates market has meant that corporations have managed to lock-in fixed rate facilities for the foreseable; the way banks are set up currently means they are too heavily capitalised which has driven the price of these facilities down. some credit facilities have offered about as much risk as current accounts at the moment with banks tripping overthemselves to lend.
The other side of this is, of course, that we are probably stuck in a boom and bust cycle in the credit markets.
Leverage is growing, ABS' are back, CDO's are back (no cdo squared yet though ;-) ) you've got companies like the big american bulge brackets who are knocking european banks out of their positions in syndicated loans and taking massive holds; only to be able to flip it straight away and get the lot of their balance sheet in a matter of 48 hours. The insurance funds can't get enough, the pension funds can't get enough, the appetite for credit is well and truly back.