The Labour Government

She won't change position so close to the budget. We all know the country is in a mess and they have been perfectly clear in that difficult decisions will need to be made to stabilise the ship.

I would be surprised if consumer confidence wasn't high at this point, but she will rightly (imo) stick with what the plan is and not buckle at the first hint of discontent

Ah I get you now, apologies. No I don’t think she will change what she does but there needs to be a bit of cheer in what she says (that was what I meant in my original post but appreciate it wasn’t clear). If you read the article savings have gone up - people are battening down the hatches because they expect things to get significantly worse - given that’s what they’ve been told for the past couple of months.

I get they want to make sure the public blame the tories for the state of everything for a good while yet - it’s sensible politics - but there is a case of them overdoing the rhetoric on that.
 
I'll post this here, not looking for any replies. Not even expecting the Labour zealots to watch it. If any of you do though, just let the first 3 or so minutes sink in. Please don't come back saying how it's all perfectly justifiable. It isn't. You know it isn't. I know, we all know. So let's not getting into a silly discussion about how it's all perfectly normal and OK. It just makes you look daft, and I am not going to engage in any such nonsensical discussion anyway, so there's no point. Just watch it, let in sink in a bit and reflect on what sort of bloke is in No 10.

 
Ah I get you now, apologies. No I don’t think she will change what she does but there needs to be a bit of cheer in what she says (that was what I meant in my original post but appreciate it wasn’t clear). If you read the article savings have gone up - people are battening down the hatches because they expect things to get significantly worse - given that’s what they’ve been told for the past couple of months.

I get they want to make sure the public blame the tories for the state of everything for a good while yet - it’s sensible politics - but there is a case of them overdoing the rhetoric on that.
Yes I agree, I posted a few days back that you can see delays in spending on Defence, Energy, Transport and other Infrastructure projects. The government departments are all waiting until the fall out from the budget and then will go off into their huddles for a couple of months. Meanwhile the economy is slowing. Its a very delicate balance and if it does completely stall restarting it will take large cash injections that will defeat the objective of controlling spending.
Furthermore if you slow major projects down too much and timescales get stretched inflation starts to cause overspends.
 
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I’m afraid that’s an entirely inaccurate description of how quantitative easing and government financing works in the UK.

QE does not directly fund the UK government - it does not equate to monetary financing - and the Bank of England’s actual ability to directly fund the UK government during emergency periods is done via the Ways and Means facility. The W&M is entirely distinct from QE, and is effectively an overdraft facility which is only used for a short finite period and in exceptional circumstances, when it is believed that the government’s funding requirements - which are managed by the DMO - would risk unsettling bond markets.

As for QE, this doesn’t equate to direct government financing due to the fact that (i) when the BoE purchases bonds as part of QE operations, it only buys from the secondary market, I.e. from the stock of outstanding gilts held by investors, rather than directly from the DMO/government, and (ii) the funds used to make QE purchases create another, separate liability for the government, such that QE changes the nature of government debt, rather than the immediate level.

QE purchases do boost the level of bank deposits across the economy, because investors who previously held gilts are now holding cash, but these are distinct from government financing, and an increased level of deposits does not necessarily boost bank lending, as typically proved the case in the UK.
Thanks for the clarification. My post was written quite quickly. The main thrust was to show that BoE and ergo HMG are directly responsible for determining the source of money in the economy. I don't think I said that QE was actually funding HMG but was pumped into the economy generally.
 
I'll post this here, not looking for any replies. Not even expecting the Labour zealots to watch it. If any of you do though, just let the first 3 or so minutes sink in. Please don't come back saying how it's all perfectly justifiable. It isn't. You know it isn't. I know, we all know. So let's not getting into a silly discussion about how it's all perfectly normal and OK. It just makes you look daft, and I am not going to engage in any such nonsensical discussion anyway, so there's no point. Just watch it, let in sink in a bit and reflect on what sort of bloke is in No 10.


The first 60 seconds of that video tells you all you need to know...
Absolutely shameful.
 

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