We have 3 distinct regions in the global economy right now. The US has higher yields, decent growth and people think the government spends too much. China has lower yields, low growth and people think the government should spend more, whereas the UK has the worst of all worlds higher yields, no growth and people think the government spends too much.
The UK isn’t particularly different to much of Europe in that regard, however whilst the rest of Europe is at least pretending to get their debt under control the UK has spun the fuck-it wheel and is borrowing billions more to invest in infrastructure projects (in itself something I think is right if done sensibly). This isn’t orthodox government behaviour and sometimes it’s hard being the only one heading the other way down a street. Who knows it may end up being the blue print for how to do it in the future - Reeveonomics.
But that’s for the future. Now she needs to either hold her nerve or use the spring budget to reset the treasury strategy. What she can’t do is be bounced in to it by market sentiment - she’ll be toast then.
Labours rhetoric, a perception of them having too many self stated priorities (if you have too many you have none), and Reeve’s tax on employment hasn’t helped the general sentiment but for the moment she retains the markets confidence or at least they are prepared to wait - but there is a price to be paid for now in increased borrowing costs.
Interesting times ahead.