The Title Race - 2021/22

  • Thread starter Deleted member 81382
  • Start date
Status
Not open for further replies.
BerkshireBlue said:
Liverpool would have to smash their records to win 13 on the bounce the max they've ever done in a season is 11. so 87 sound like the magic number to aim for given our superior goal difference. So 8 more wins
Click to expand...

They matched our record of 18 wins in a row in 19/20. Plus, the past is the past, it doesn't play on the pitch.

They have to significantly outpeform us in the league while also trying to win in the cups. It isn't impossible, but it's a big ask for them. We should care about ourselves, though. If we continue to win games on a regular basis, they can't do much. As long as we don't lose the derby with them at the Etihad, we'll be fine. And even if we lose that game, we are likely to be in a better position than them, injuries permitting.
 
Tricky_Trev said:
These are the league fixtures prior to us playing each other. We both have Utd and Brighton then the other 4 are Spurs, Everton, Palace and Burnley for us (average league position roughly 11th). Norwich, Leeds, West Ham and Watford for them (average league position 14th). No doubt it could go to the wire, a lot will be at stake when we meet at the Etihad.

City:
Spurs (H)
Everton (A)
Utd (H)
Palace (A)
Brighton (H)
Burnley (A)

Liverpool:
Norwich (H)
Leeds (A)
West Ham (H)
Brighton (A)
Utd (H)
Watford (H)
Click to expand...
Then after that Liverpool have

City a
villa a
Everton h
Newcastle a
tottenham h
southampton a
wolves h
plus they have to reschedule arsenal away
 
alexmcity said:
They matched our record of 18 wins in a row in 19/20. Plus, the past is the past, it doesn't play on the pitch.

They have to significantly outpeform us in the league while also trying to win in the cups. It isn't impossible, but it's a big ask for them. We should care about ourselves, though. If we continue to win games on a regular basis, they can't do much. As long as we don't lose the derby with them at the Etihad, we'll be fine. And even if we lose that game, we are likely to be in a better position than them, injuries permitting.
Click to expand...

Over two seasons that mate. They've never won 11 on the bounce in one season ever.
 
kismet said:
Then after that Liverpool have

City a
villa a
Everton h
Newcastle a
tottenham h
southampton a
wolves h
plus they have to reschedule arsenal away
Click to expand...

After we play United in early March, our fixtures will be easier (on paper) than theirs. They'll still have to play Arsenal away, Brighton away, Southampton away, Villa away, United, Spurs and Wolves at home. Our most difficult game after United in March is likely to be Wolves away in April.

As long as we avoid bad injuries, we'll be fine. If we have an injury crisis, though, the likes of Palmer and Delap may need to make vital contributions.
 
Corky said:
Both have one 'easy away' game less so it is pretty obvious.

1/10 and 6/1 didn't budge today, the top 4 % for M United looks low compared to Arsenal and the odds. Looks like a shallow model.
Click to expand...
Judge for yourself, they open source their data

fivethirtyeight.com

How Our Club Soccer Predictions Work

References Engsoccerdata / Opta / Transfermarkt Harmonic mean / Massey’s method / Monte Carlo method / Poisson process / Ranked probability score The Details We…
fivethirtyeight.com fivethirtyeight.com
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top
✖
  AdBlock Detected
Bluemoon relies on advertising to pay our hosting fees. Please support the site by disabling your ad blocking software to help keep the forum sustainable. Thanks.