The Title Race 2022/23

[Claytop]

Big ask but win out from here I think is the only way we'll win it.

 

[goalmole]

Big ask but win out from here I think is the only way we'll win it.

There's no reason we can't, we've done it before.
In fact, the team seem to be firing up just at the right time.
As for Arsenal, they are playing very well and seem to be the real deal but odd things happen when the pressure is on.
The pisscan could tell you all about that.

 

[waspish]

Listened to an interview from Arsenals Edu he talked like pep and our staff talk about next game concentrating on just that and how you go about winning that next game no talk whatsoever on titles trophies.. it’s why I think we will need to win at least 10 of our last 11 games to win the league!

 

[blue b4 the moon]

I'm sure Arse will drop points, the pressure on them especially assuming we'll beat the dips will be immense but, what worries me is we're only a couple of shit reffing decisions from being taken out of the race,

 

[goalmole]

I think we’re getting vey close, if not already at the point, where we need to be 100% from here on in, to have a realistic chance.

Of course it’s possible Arsenal could drop points in 3+ games. I think it’s unlikely though, especially with no distractions in other competitions.

We’ve done it before though, so I certainly haven’t given up. Absolutely got to beat Liverpool after the break though, or I think that might more or less be it, barring a miracle.

We seem to play better when playing twice a week.
Never give up hope.
It's going to be a great run in whatever happens.

 

[Brightwell Bros.]

If Arsenal win every game except ours then they'd have won 14 of their last 15 games, including trips to Liverpool and Newcastle, and will end the season on 96 points. I remain of the opinion you can't really begrudge them the title on that form, and there's not a lot we can do about it. At the very least, I think there's a couple of draws in there and they'll finish closer to 90ish points: the question is whether we are consistent enough to take advantage.

 

[Zenmanc]

We win out- they drop points ONCE and we're champions.

 

[MCFC1993]

We win 11 out of 11, it'll be ours.

We win 10 out of 11, including beating Arsenal, it'll be ours.

We win 9 out of 11, including beating Arsenal or winning 10 out of 11 but not beating Arsenal we'd have a small chance.


Any other scenario probably won't be enough for me.

We max out at 94 points, Arsenal at 99 points. The winner is probably going to need 90 points minimum in my opinion.

FiveThirtyEight still estimates lower which I'm not sure about:




According to FiveThirtyEight we're significant favourites to win every remaining game. Arsenal are only favourites in 8/10, City (A) and Liverpool (A) they're not and they're only 5% more likely to beat Newcastle (A) than they're to lose.

Stats don't decide games but they're a decent indicator.

 

[supercity88]

They lost at Everton, drew with Brentford at home and then lost at home to us picking up 1pt out of a possible 9. So things can change very quickly.

Having said that, I think the next two will be definitive. We play Liverpool before they play Leeds at home. Then we play Southampton away before they play Liverpool at Anfield the following day.

If the gap reduces over the next two then I think we'll go on and win it. But if it stays the same or increases it's game over.

 

[Blu3m00n91]

We’ve played in 3rd gear this season and now it’s the business end and we have seemed to of clicked again. Will that momentum carry us through? As people have mentioned before we normally do well when we play twice a week. Arsenal have been flat out since the start maybe the mental and physical fatigue will kick in with the pressure. Just enjoy the ride what ever happens. Gonna be an exciting end that’s for sure