The Title Race - 2023/24

How many points will be needed to win the league?


  • Total voters
    446
  • Poll closed .
If Arsenal can beat Spurs in Sunday according to quite a few posters (definitely a good possibility) then there is absolutely no reason why we shouldn't beat them.

Forget our record against them on their patch as we will be putting everything into retaining our title with no distractions whatsoever. With a fully fit squad (hopefully) we know what we have to do.
For me if arsenal win Sunday the title will be decided when we play away at Spurs, drop any points there and we won’t win the league, we had a chance to get more goals last night and get it down, obviously the win comes first like against Forest but we really must go for the jugular now, it could come down to goal difference.
 
One way to look at it is putting remaining games into an Acca and see what odds you'd get to win all games remaining. As a mix of real odds and guessed odds for Arsenal you'd get;

Spurs away 1.85, Bournemouth Home 1.4, Rags away 1.75, Everton Home 1.35, total odds 3.35 or 47/20 probability 30%

For City you'd get

Forest Away 1.32, Wolves home 1.3, Fulham away 1.5, Spurs away 1.8, West Ham Home 1.4, total total odds 3.32 or 58/25 probability 32%

So neither side are likely to win all remaining games, in fact the odds are similar for both to do it but crucially City have an effective 2 point buffer so statistically City should win the PL by 2 points.
 
have no trust in these London rivalries,quite often they shamelessly lie down to each other. look at Chelsea in the 3 games vs City this season and what they did vs Arsenal. night and day level of fighting...

hope Postecoglou will try to use this game to build momentum with a good result for their CL place fight vs Villa.
if they wanna be in CL next season they cannot lose at home to Arse.
if they lose hope they wont make CL in the rest of the decade.
time to step forward for Son and maybe do what he always does vs City...

also Spurs had no games since 13th of April 15 fucking days of relax and getting ready for this one game. if they are no super fresh and energetic for this one than Postecoglou deserves fuck all.


would love nothing more than Spurs getting a draw at least and us beating Forest later. that would put Arteta under immense pressure and then they still have mighty red rags at old toilet who may come through for us like they did vs dippers.
Dont know why but have a nagging feeling Manure beat Arsenal. Just a slight hunch.
 
Arsenal won't crumble & capitulate like Liverpool have.
I think we'll need to win every game & i think we will

Suppose that Arsenal have a 60% chance to win vs Spurs and a 80% chance to win vs United. (Bookies give them a lower chance to win those two games, but let's be more pessimistic than them.) That would mean that the chance for two wins at Spurs and United is lower than 50%. Sure, they can win there but it's more likely that they drop points than not.

Personally, I think they'll drop points in one or even two of the remaining games.
 
Arsenal won't crumble & capitulate like Liverpool have.
I think we'll need to win every game & i think we will
I think the Aston Villa game says differently to be honest, It's actually disappointing that they aren't at home to Tottenham this weekend instead of being away as crazy as it sounds.

They done the same last year blowing it with home games getting battered by Brighton, This season they got torn apart by Aston Villa, The pressure is on the massively at home and the longer the games go 0-0 the fans get impatient and the players panic.

I don't think they'll crumble to the extent Liverpool have, The game against Tottenham is the make or break game for them. If they fail to win it could be curtains.
 
Suppose that Arsenal have a 60% chance to win vs Spurs and a 80% chance to win vs United. (Bookies give them a lower chance to win those two games, but let's be more pessimistic than them.) That would mean that the chance for two wins at Spurs and United is lower than 50%. Sure, they can win there but it's more likely that they drop points than not.

Personally, I think they'll drop points in one or even two of the remaining games.
According to the bookies Arsenal and City will drop the same amount of points in their remaining games which would mean City win by 2 points.
 
For me if arsenal win Sunday the title will be decided when we play away at Spurs, drop any points there and we won’t win the league, we had a chance to get more goals last night and get it down, obviously the win comes first like against Forest but we really must go for the jugular now, it could come down to goal difference.
I'd be surprised if it did for us to win it, but you can't rule it out completely. Disregarding the various "level on points" permutations for a moment, we would have to overhaul the current GD plus the remaining games. That's a lot of goals.
 
I think the Aston Villa game says differently to be honest, It's actually disappointing that they aren't at home to Tottenham this weekend instead of being away as crazy as it sounds.

They done the same last year blowing it with home games getting battered by Brighton, This season they got torn apart by Aston Villa, The pressure is on the massively at home and the longer the games go 0-0 the fans get impatient and the players panic.

I don't think they'll crumble to the extent Liverpool have, The game against Tottenham is the make or break game for them. If they fail to win it could be curtains.
If you watched the Villa game Arsenal missed a hatful of chances early on and then the pressure built. Arsenal are a team that needs to score early at home to calm them down. Away is different but Arsenal have shown a few times this season that they run out of attacking ideas when needing to chase a game and just peter out.
 
For me if arsenal win Sunday the title will be decided when we play away at Spurs, drop any points there and we won’t win the league, we had a chance to get more goals last night and get it down, obviously the win comes first like against Forest but we really must go for the jugular now, it could come down to goal difference.
We should calmly play our game and preserve energy when the game is comfortably won. Chasing goal difference because we are terrified of dropping points is a psychological suicide in this title race.
 

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