SkyBlueCanuck
Well-Known Member
City sits 1st with 41, and our prior three second half point tally totals were 45, 54 and 43.Half season and end of season points totals since 17/18:
17/18
City - 55/100
Liverpool - 35/75
United - 42/81
Spurs - 34/77
Leicester - 27/47
18/19
City - 44/98
Liverpool - 51/97
United - 32/66
Spurs - 45/71
Leicester - 28/52
19/20
City - 38/81
Liverpool - 55/99
United - 28/66
Spurs - 29/59
Leicester - 39/62
I have bolded where there has been a significant (5+ points) improvement over the 2nd half of the season. It doesn't really happen. Most of the time, 1st half season form is continued through the 2nd half of the season.
20/21
City - 41
Liverpool - 34
United - 40
Spurs - 33 (18 games)
Leicester - 38
I am predicting that 85 points wins the league comfortably but as low as 80 points might do it. It also means Liverpool probably need to win 15 of their remaining 19 games to even challenge.
Using the least of these (43) would give us 84 points and would require City to finish at a rate of 2.26 Points Per Game which would then force our rivals to do the following to be level on points:
-Liverpool to produce at least 50 from their 19 remaining (2.63 ppg)
-Spurs to produce at least 51 from their 20 (2.55 ppg)
-Leicester to produce at least 45 from their 18 (2.5 ppg)
-United to produce at least 44 from their 18 (2.44 ppg)
We're in the box seat. Good thing too considering the fixture crunch.
edit:maths
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